Thursday, May 31, 2012

(BN) Ex-Credit Suisse Trader Chan’s Asia Macro Fund Returns 20% on Euro Crisis

Everyone was a hero till April. Keen to see May.



Bloomberg News, sent from my iPad.

Ex-Credit Suisse Trader's Asia Macro Hedge Fund Returns 20%

May 31 (Bloomberg) -- Splendid Asia Macro Fund, run by a former Credit Suisse Group AG trader, returned 20 percent this year through April as it bought Asian currencies, fixed income and equities, and sold the yen amid the European crisis.

The fund, whose trades focus on Asia, now has $60 million in assets from $40 million when it started in July, said Charlie Chan, the founder of Singapore-based Charlie Chan Capital Partners Pte. Splendid Asia has returned about 14 percent since inception through April, he said.

"We launched our fund at a good time because it was the Greek crisis, so we started off buying things as the market fell, so we managed to pick up at some good prices," Chan, the former head of foreign exchange strategic trading at Credit Suisse, said in an interview in Singapore. "Asia will be the place to be as the European crisis will slow things down."

The gains by the fund compare with the Eurekahedge Global Macro Hedge Fund's 1.3 percent return this year to April and 5 percent gain by the Eurekahedge index that tracks Asian hedge funds. Investment opportunities are in South Asian countries such as Singapore and Indonesia given their growth prospects, while concerns remain for growth in China and India, said Chan, who left the Swiss bank last year.

Shorting the Japanese currency contributed to the fund's performance on the view that there isn't a real economic recovery in the world's third-biggest economy that also faces the demographic problem of a shrinking population, Chan said. "I don't think anything good can happen in Japan," he said.

No Hurry

Chan said he's not in a hurry to increase funds under management as that may lower returns. Total estimated capital invested with Asian hedge funds was $82.1 billion at the end of 2011, according to Chicago-based Hedge Fund Research Inc.

Last year, "I don't think anybody was ready to deploy capital," he said. "This year, probably there are more people looking to deploy, but with the European crisis rearing its ugly head, guys who are really going to put money to work will be a bit slower."

The number of hedge-fund startups in 2011 reached the highest since 2007 as investors and managers positioned for 2012 amid intense volatility and macroeconomic uncertainty, according to Hedge Fund Research Inc. Two hundred and sixty five macro funds started in 2011, the most since the Chicago-based company started tracking the data in 1996.

Chan said he remains cautious about growth prospects in China as the country goes through a leadership transition later this year, and India because the nation needs to further build its infrastructure.

Chan teamed up with Lam Hoi Leong and Albert Neo, former proprietary traders he worked with at Credit Suisse, to start the hedge fund after the Switzerland's second-largest bank shut down some operations that made bets with the bank's own money following losses related to the September 2008 bankruptcy of New York-based Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.

To contact the reporter on this story: Tomoko Yamazaki in Singapore tyamazaki@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Andreea Papuc at apapuc1@bloomberg.net

Find out more about Bloomberg for iPad: http://m.bloomberg.com/ipad/


Sent from my iPad

(BN) Woman Who Couldn’t Be Intimidated by Citigroup Wins $31 Million


So am I and all the readers of this article suppose to sympathize with the poor little rich girl who got herself 31 million?  For that money,  even a eunuch won't be intimidated.

Bloomberg News, sent from my Android phone

May 31 (Bloomberg) -- Sherry Hunt never expected to be a senior manager at a Wall Street bank. She was a country girl, raised in rural Michigan by a dad who taught her to fish and a mom who showed her how to find wild mushrooms. She listened to Marty Robbins and Buck Owens on the radio and came to believe that God has a bigger plan, that everything happens for a reason.

She got married at 16 and didn't go to college. After she had her first child at 17, she needed a job. A friend helped her find one in 1975, processing home loans at a small bank in Alaska. Over the next 30 years, Hunt moved up the ladder to mortgage-banking positions in Indiana, Minnesota and Missouri, Bloomberg Markets magazine reports in its July issue.

On her days off, when she wasn't fishing with her husband, Jonathan, she rode her horse, Cody, in Wild West shows. She sometimes dressed up as the legendary cowgirl Annie Oakley, firing blanks from a vintage rifle to entertain an audience. She liked the mortgage business, liked that she was helping people buy houses.

In November 2004, Hunt, now 55, joined Citigroup Inc. as a vice president in the mortgage unit. It looked like a great career move. The housing market was booming, and the New York- based bank, the sixth-largest lender in the U.S. at the time, was responsible for 3.5 percent of all home loans. Hunt supervised 65 mortgage underwriters at CitiMortgage Inc.'s sprawling headquarters in O'Fallon, Missouri, 45 minutes west of St. Louis.

Avoiding Fraud

Hunt's team was responsible for protecting Citigroup from fraud and bad investments. She and her colleagues inspected loans Citi wanted to buy from outside brokers and lenders to see whether they met the bank's standards. The mortgages had to have properly signed paperwork, verifiable borrower income and realistic appraisals.

Citi would vouch for the quality of these loans when it sold them to investors or approved them for government mortgage insurance.

Investor demand was so strong for mortgages packaged into securities that Citigroup couldn't process them fast enough. The Citi stamp of approval told investors that the bank would stand behind the mortgages if borrowers quit paying.

At the mortgage-processing factory in O'Fallon, Hunt was working on an assembly line that helped inflate a housing bubble whose implosion would shake the world. The O'Fallon mortgage machinery was moving too fast to check every loan, Hunt says.

Phony Appraisals

By 2006, the bank was buying mortgages from outside lenders with doctored tax forms, phony appraisals and missing signatures, she says. It was Hunt's job to identify these defects, and she did, in regular reports to her bosses.

Executives buried her findings, Hunt says, before, during and after the financial crisis, and even into 2012.

In March 2011, more than two years after Citigroup took $45 billion in bailouts from the U.S. government and billions more from the Federal Reserve -- more in total than any other U.S. bank -- Jeffery Polkinghorne, an O'Fallon executive in charge of loan quality, asked Hunt and a colleague to stay in a conference room after a meeting.

The encounter with Polkinghorne was brief and tense, Hunt says. The number of loans classified as defective would have to fall, he told them, or it would be "your asses on the line."

Hunt says it was clear what Polkinghorne was asking -- and she wanted no part of it.

'I Wouldn't Play Along'

"All a dishonest person had to do was change the reports to make things look better than they were," Hunt says. "I wouldn't play along."

Instead, she took her employer to court -- and won. In August 2011, five months after the meeting with Polkinghorne, Hunt sued Citigroup in Manhattan federal court, accusing its home-loan division of systematically violating U.S. mortgage regulations.

The U.S. Justice Department decided to join her suit in January. Citigroup didn't dispute any of Hunt's facts; it didn't mount a defense in public or in court. On Feb. 15, 2012, the bank agreed to pay $158.3 million to the U.S. government to settle the case.

Citigroup admitted approving loans for government insurance that didn't qualify under Federal Housing Administration rules. Prosecutors kept open the possibility of bringing criminal charges, without specifying targets.

'Pure Myth'

Citigroup behaving badly as late as 2012 shows how a big bank hasn't yet absorbed the lessons of the credit crisis despite billions of dollars in bailouts, says Neil Barofsky, former special inspector general of the Troubled Asset Relief Program.

"This case demonstrates that the notion that the bailed-out banks have somehow found God and have reformed their ways in the aftermath of the financial crisis is pure myth," he says.

As a reward for blowing the whistle on her employer, Hunt, the country girl turned banker, got $31 million out of the settlement paid by Citigroup.

Hunt still remembers her first impressions of CitiMortgage's O'Fallon headquarters, a complex of three concrete-and-glass buildings surrounded by manicured lawns and vast parking lots. Inside are endless rows of cubicles where 3,800 employees trade e-mails and conduct conference calls. Hunt says at first she felt like a mouse in a maze.

"You only see people's faces when someone brings in doughnuts and the smell gets them peeking over the tops of their cubicles," she says.

Jean Charities

Over time, she came to appreciate the camaraderie. Every month, workers conducted the so-called Jean Charities. Employees contributed $20 for the privilege of wearing jeans every day, with the money going to local nonprofit organizations. With so many workers, it added up to $25,000 a month.

"Citi is full of wonderful people, conscientious people," Hunt says.

Those people worked on different teams to process mortgages, all of them focused on keeping home loans moving through the system. One team bought loans from brokers and other lenders. Another team, called underwriters, made sure loan paperwork was complete and the mortgages met the bank's and the government's guidelines.

Yet another group did spot-checks on loans already purchased. It was such a high-volume business that one group's assignment was simply to keep loans moving on the assembly line.

Powerful Incentive

Still another unit sold loans to Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae, the government-controlled companies that bundled them into securities for sale to investors. Those were the types of securities that blew up in 2007, igniting a global financial crisis.

Workers had a powerful incentive to push mortgages through the process even if flaws were found: compensation. The pay of CitiMortgage employees all the way up to the division's chief executive officer depended on a high percentage of approved loans, the government's complaint says.

By 2006, Hunt's team was processing $50 billion in loans that Citi-Mortgage bought from hundreds of mortgage companies. Because her unit couldn't possibly review them all, they checked a sample.

When a mortgage wasn't up to federal standards -- which could be any error ranging from an unsigned document to a false income statement or a hyped-up appraisal -- her team labeled the loan as defective.

Missing Documentation

In late 2007, Hunt's group estimated that about 60 percent of the mortgages Citigroup was buying and selling were missing some form of documentation. Hunt says she took her concerns to her boss, Richard Bowen III.

Bowen, 64, is a religious man, a former Air Force Reserve Officer Training Corps cadet at Texas Tech University in Lubbock with an attention to detail that befits his background as a certified public accountant. When he saw the magnitude of the mortgage defects, Bowen says he prayed for guidance.

In a Nov. 3, 2007, e-mail, he alerted Citigroup executives, including Robert Rubin, then chairman of Citigroup's executive committee and a former Treasury secretary; Chief Financial Officer Gary Crittenden; the bank's senior risk officer; and its chief auditor.

Bowen put the words "URGENT -- READ IMMEDIATELY -- FINANCIAL ISSUES" in the subject line.

"The reason for this urgent e-mail concerns breakdowns of internal controls and resulting significant but possibly unrecognized financial losses existing within our organization," Bowen wrote. "We continue to be significantly out of compliance."

No Change

There were no noticeable changes in the mortgage machinery as a result of Bowen's warning, Hunt says.

Just a week after Bowen sent his e-mail, Sherry and Jonathan were driving their Toyota Camry about 55 miles (89 kilometers) per hour on four-lane Providence Road in Columbia, Missouri, when a driver in a Honda Civic hit them head-on. Sherry broke a foot and her sternum. Jonathan broke an arm and his sternum.

Doctors used four bones harvested from a cadaver and titanium screws to stabilize his neck.

"You come out of an experience like that with a commitment to making the most of the time you have and making the world a better place," Sherry says.

Three months after the accident, attorneys from Paul, Weiss, Rifkind, Wharton & Garrison LLP, a New York law firm representing Citigroup, interviewed Hunt. She had no idea at the time that it was related to Bowen's complaint, she says.

Home Computer

The lawyers' questions made her search her memory for details of loans and conversations with colleagues, she says. She decided to take notes from that time forward on a spreadsheet she kept on her home computer.

Bowen's e-mail is now part of the archive of the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission, a panel created by Congress in 2009. Citigroup's response to the commission, FCIC records show, came from Brad Karp, chairman of Paul Weiss.

He said Citigroup had reviewed Bowen's issues, fired a supervisor and changed its underwriting system, without providing specifics.

One change resulting from Bowen's e-mail affected Bowen himself. He went from managing 220 people to overseeing two, according to the FCIC report. By January 2009, Bowen no longer worked for Citigroup, he told the FCIC.

"More people haven't come forward because they saw what happened to me," says Bowen, who's now an accounting and finance professor at the University of Texas at Dallas. He says Hunt is the exception. "Sherry is an absolutely fantastic lady who knows what she's doing. She has a conscience. I have the highest regard for her."

One Person

Bowen declined to comment on the circumstances of his departure from Citigroup. The bank denies any retaliation against him.

After Bowen left, Hunt had only one person she could confide in: her husband. She and Jonathan, 51, met in 1998 at a Minnesota casino. He trained search-and-rescue dogs for a living. They share a love of animals, especially horses. She says she was attracted to his sense of humor. He would quote country songs to make her laugh. They were married in 1999.

When Sherry worked for U.S. Bancorp in Missouri, she and Jonathan bred and raised horses. As members of the Old West Society of Minnesota, the couple performed in re-enactments of 19th-century events, such as the shootout at the O.K. Corral.

Sometimes she dressed up as a society woman, wearing a bustle. When she played Annie Oakley, she wore a buckskin outfit with a bullwhip coiled around her shoulder. She galloped into the arena on her horse -- but never too fast, her husband says.

'Don't Get Along'

"Sherry and speed on a horse don't get along," he says with a grin.

Every workday for eight years before winning her lawsuit, Sherry Hunt left their house on its 10-acre (4-hectare) lot and drove along a dirt road where cows and horses grazed in pastures. She turned onto a two-lane county highway that passed over a river bridge barely wide enough for two cars. About 45 minutes later, she'd arrive at the office.

After Bowen went public with her findings, Hunt says she was transferred to the quality-control group on April 1, 2008. She went from supervising 65 people to managing none.

"What I saw there was 10 times worse," she says. "Every time I turned over a rock, I found a snake."

One place where she uncovered flaws was in the fraud prevention and investigation group. That's where Hunt's team shipped questionable loans, with issues such as obviously forged signatures, whited-out income lines on tax forms or misspelled bank names on borrower bank statements.

No Notification

The group was supposed to investigate the mortgages for fraud and notify the FHA within a month when it found it. In November 2009, Hunt says, she came across a list of about 1,000 loans that the quality-control team had identified for possible fraud.

The fraud prevention and investigation group had left some of the mortgages in the queue for more than two years without checking them, Hunt says. Not one notification went to the FHA before July 2011, when the U.S. Attorney's Office in Manhattan issued a subpoena to the O'Fallon office, the government's complaint says.

In 2009, different teams began feuding, internal e-mails made public in the Justice Department case show. That's when CitiMortgage created yet another team whose mission was to challenge the findings of Hunt's quality-control group and persuade her and her colleagues to change their decisions on the suitability of loans.

'Brute Force'

In November 2010, Ross Leckie, a senior director of CitiMortgage's retail bank mortgage unit, sent an e-mail ordering his staff to meet its goal of a maximum 5 percent defect rate on home loans. Quality-control employees had identified 10 loans with severe flaws from a pool of 138, Leckie said, for a rate of 7.25 percent.

"Drive this rate down by brute force," he wrote. "We need three loans to be removed to get to 5.07 percent."

CitiMortgage defect rates did plummet, according to notes Hunt kept. It wasn't because there were fewer bad mortgages, she says.

"It's because they were beating us up over the quality- control reports," she says.

In late 2010, Hunt began studying the new federal whistle- blower rules that Congress had just enacted in July as part of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act.

'You've Had Enough'

The stress had been mounting for Sherry and Jon. Conflicts at the office, the physical pain that lingered from the car wreck and growing anxiety over Citi's bad mortgages were taking a toll. The Hunts say the laughter they often shared had faded.

Sherry says she drew inspiration from a country song by Rascal Flatts called "Stand."

"Decide you've had enough," it goes. "You get mad. You get strong. Wipe your hands, shake it off, then you stand."

Hunt says she pinned the lyrics to her cubicle wall.

"It made me stronger," she says.

Hunt needed the strength on March 22, 2011. That's the day Polkinghorne, who was three levels above her in the chain of command, called her and a colleague aside and told them their asses were on the line if the defect rates didn't fall.

Polkinghorne couldn't be reached for comment, and Citigroup declined to make him available for an interview.

That night, she and Jon agreed the time had come for her to take a stand. So Hunt decided to follow the first step prescribed by Dodd-Frank: formally complaining to the company. The prospect kept her awake at night.

'My Life Savings'

"I was ready to give up my career and my life savings to get this done," she says.

On March 29, 2011, Hunt walked into CitiMortgage's human resources department in O'Fallon and told them everything: how the bank had been routinely buying and selling bad mortgages for years, how the fraud unit wasn't doing its job and how the quality-control people were being pressured to change their ratings.

Whistle-blower rules mandate that Hunt had to notify the Securities and Exchange Commission, the government regulator that oversees Citigroup's mortgage business, within 90 days of reporting her concerns internally.

"I am afraid of what I know," she wrote the SEC on May 24, 2011. "I do not want to know what I know. I have nothing to gain from coming forward and have no hidden agenda."

Hunt hired a lawyer, Finley Gibbs of Rotts & Gibbs LLC in Columbia, Missouri. He had represented the Hunts after their car accident. Starting on June 27, 2011, Hunt and Gibbs shared details from her spreadsheet in four conference calls with Justice Department investigators.

Had to Do It

The officials made no promises about whether they would take action against Citigroup.

For two months, Sherry and Jon sweated over what could happen if she sued Citigroup without help from the government. They concluded she had to do it, Hunt says. On Aug. 5, 2011, Hunt filed a false-claims complaint in U.S. District Court in Manhattan.

"I still had to go into work," Hunt says. Because the complaint was sealed, no one in her office knew about it. She pinned a postcard of Leonardo da Vinci's Mona Lisa next to the Rascal Flatts lyrics. Like Mona Lisa, Sherry Hunt had a secret.

She knew her chances of winning were slim because she couldn't match the resources of a big bank. Just 20 percent of whistle-blowers get help from government prosecutors, and without that, success is rare, according to the National Whistleblowers Center in Washington.

A Ghost

After filing the lawsuit, Hunt says, she felt like a ghost navigating the cubicles of CitiMortgage. Nobody knew, she says, yet she felt vulnerable, as if she could lose her job at any moment.

Sherry and Jon were elated on Jan. 3, 2012, when she got a call from her lawyer: U.S. Attorney Preet Bharara in Manhattan had decided to join her on behalf of the Justice Department in the case.

There was no testimony and no trial. Citigroup admitted wrongdoing on Feb. 15 and paid the $158.3 million to settle. In a press release the same day, Citi said it was pleased to resolve the matter.

"We take our quality-assurance processes seriously and have proactively undertaken process improvements to ensure that they are as robust as possible," the bank wrote. The statement didn't mention Hunt.

Bank of America

Citigroup isn't the only bank that's been held accountable for processing bad mortgages. In February, Charlotte, North Carolina-based Bank of America Corp. settled a false-claims case with the government for $1 billion, without admitting wrongdoing.

In May, Frankfurt-based Deutsche Bank AG agreed to pay $202.3 million for endorsing unqualified mortgages for FHA insurance, and admitted wrongdoing.

What continues to set Citigroup apart is that the bank approved flawed loans well past the 2008 financial crisis. A battleground over loan quality persisted at CitiMortgage even as the settlement was signed in February, the complaint says.

Just months after Citigroup settled with the Justice Department, another big financial institution, JPMorgan Chase & Co., announced a multibillion-dollar trading loss -- helping to rekindle the debate over regulation of so-called too-big-to-fail banks.

Dodd-Frank Debate

President Barack Obama invoked the JPMorgan loss as more evidence of the need for tighter regulation of Wall Street. Mitt Romney, the presumptive Republican presidential nominee, has meanwhile continued to call for the repeal of Dodd-Frank, the law Sherry Hunt followed when she blew the whistle on her employer.

If Citigroup has learned anything from Sherry Hunt, it's not clear from the comments of CitiMortgage CEO Sanjiv Das, who's based in New York. He says his division does terrific work.

"We are focused on making sure we manufacture loans the right way," he says. "This is a complex industry. It's a complex process. It takes time. We're heading down a trajectory that I'm incredibly proud of. Is there something that is systemically wrong? Absolutely not. Absolutely not."

Citigroup CEO Vikram S. Pandit declined to comment for this story. In a video recorded in 2010 and posted by Citi on the Internet, Pandit pledged that his bank was turning over a new leaf.

'Making Sure We're Honest'

"We're going to stand for the financial services company that practices responsible finance -- making sure we're transparent, making sure we're honest, making sure we manage our shareholders' money prudently," he says.

Citigroup repaid with interest the $45 billion in government bailout loans it took in 2008, as well as all of the money it borrowed from the Fed. The bank reported profits during each of the nine quarters ended in March 2012. Yet shareholders remain restive. Citi's stock fell 92 percent from Dec. 11, 2007, when Pandit became CEO, to May 30.

Three weeks after Citigroup settled the Hunt case, the bank's board of directors awarded Pandit $14.9 million in compensation for 2011. The pay was tied to Pandit's push for ethical conduct, the bank said in a March 8 regulatory filing.

The filing specifically cited Pandit's success in improving Citigroup's U.S. mortgage unit. On April 16, in an unprecedented move, Citi shareholders voted to reject Pandit's compensation by about 55 to 45 percent. The vote was nonbinding, and the bank's board of directors has final say on pay.

'There's a Basis'

"We gave this guy a pretty substantial incentive award, and there's a basis for it," says Richard Parsons, who was Citigroup's chairman and a member of its compensation committee until he retired in April. "Our view was, under Vikram's leadership, we did a pretty good job of moving Citigroup forward in the year 2011, but there was still progress to be made."

The amount Citigroup paid in the settlement amounts to 1.4 percent of its 2011 net income of $11.2 billion.

"It's about more than dollars; it's about the reputational risk of the enterprise and how we do business," Parsons says. "Getting our arms around the problem and getting it fixed has been a top priority."

Hunt says she hopes her victory inspires others to take a stand.

"I want people to know they can come forward," she says. "If I can do it, they can do it. We need to change what's wrong in our own backyards, and that's how we end up changing the big things."

Donating Home

After they received their share of the settlement, the Hunts decided to donate their house in Missouri to the Troy First Baptist Church and move to a warmer climate. Sitting at the kitchen counter, Jon calls Sherry over to watch a video on his tablet.

It's the Zac Brown Band doing a song called "Knee Deep," which is about the dream of a permanent vacation.

"Listen," Jon tells his wife, pointing to the video. Then he sings along: "Only worry in the world is the tide gonna reach my chair."

Sherry Hunt tips her head back and hoots.

Editors: Jonathan Neumann, Gail Roche

To contact the reporter on this story: Bob Ivry in New York at bivry@bloomberg.net .

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Jonathan Neumann at jneumann2@bloomberg.net

Find out more about Bloomberg for Android: http://m.bloomberg.com/android

Monday, May 28, 2012

Star bank traders struggle to shine with own funds



Why does this NOT come as a surprise?


Star bank traders struggle to shine with own funds


7:12am EDT


By Tommy Wilkes


LONDON (Reuters) - Some of the biggest traders to have swapped working at a bank for running their own hedge funds are finding it much tougher on their own, with returns since they launched lagging rivals and disappointing investors.

Dozens of top traders have fled banks in recent years, spurred into launching their own funds instead as U.S. regulators seek to ban banks from trading with their own money on so-called "proprietary" desks.

Ex-Goldman Sachs (GS.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) stars Morgan Sze and Pierre-Henri Flamand, as well as traders from Credit Suisse (CSGN.VX: Quote, Profile, Research,Stock Buzz), Morgan Stanley (MS.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) and Deutsche Bank (DBKGn.DE: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) are among those now playing markets with other people's money.

Investors rushed to get a piece of their investing know-how in some of the biggest fund launches since the crisis. But many are growing disappointed with their showing.

"The question is: 'how much can you really rely on the fact they will be able to reproduce what they were producing inside the bank where they had a lot of insights about flows and about what the smart money was doing?'," said Michele Gesualdi, a London-based partner at fund of funds firm Kairos Partners.

"I am a bit sceptical from what we have seen so far."


Flamand has seen his $1.8 billion Edoma Partners, which makes bets on corporate news events, fall 3.1 percent to end-March since inception in November 2010, an investor letter seen by Reuters shows.

Hong Kong-based Sze's Azentus, the biggest launch in Asia last year - is down 4.8 percent in the 11 months to end-February, two industry sources said, while Benros Capital Partners, also run by ex-Goldman traders, is down 2.84 percent to end-March since its June 2011 launch, an investor letter showed.

This leaves the star managers lagging many of their rivals. Since Flamand launched the average fund in his sector, so-called event-driven funds, has grown 0.8 percent after a rebound in the number of corporate takeovers in the first quarter of the year, according to Hedge Fund Research.

Since Sze launched, the average event-driven fund is down a little over 2 percent, less than half Azentus's fall.

Others have fared even worse. Zoe Cruz, the ex-Morgan Stanley co-president, is shutting her Voras Capital hedge fund two years after it opened, a source familiar with the fund said. The fund has struggled to raise capital and last year it fell 8 percent while the average hedge fund lost 5.

Edoma and Benros declined to comment. Azentus and Voras Capital could not immediately be reached for comment.

RUNNING A BUSINESS

The transition from in-house trader to hedge fund manager can be tough. For a start, managers quickly find themselves spending as much time on the practicalities of running a small business as they do running the investments.

They are also answerable to dozens of investors who demand regular updates on performance, positions and strategy.

Brian Singer, a former Americas CIO at UBS Global Asset Management, launched his own macro hedge fund, Singer Partners, in 2009 but has since taken his team to investment firm William Blair to give them more time to focus on investing.

"Unfortunately, you find when you have your own firm you actually don't get to focus as much time on investing as you think. We were doing a lot of back office, legal, compliance, marketing, none of which we were any good at," he told Reuters.

Perhaps more importantly, while bank "prop" traders are tasked with making money in all markets, they can also pull back into cash and wait for better opportunities if they believe markets are too uncertain and volatile for them to place their bets.

This contrasts with life outside a bank where traders must invest across market cycles to justify the fees they charge their clients.

Stay in cash too long and investors grow unhappy.


"I sympathise with managers in their first year as they are trying to establish a track record and may feel the pressure to trade to make a return," said Dave Matthews, who left Japanese investment bank Nomura (8604.T: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) to launch commodities hedge fund Avitah Capital last year. Matthews believes that pressure eases once a track record is established.


For investors, separating a trader's individual skill from success that owes itself to the benefits of working in a large, global bank, is hard.

Bank trading floors can buzz with talk of where "smart" money is headed. 'Prop' traders can also enjoy financing and execution costs which are lower than those now set by their prime brokers.

Therefore potential investors often have a tough time trying to figure out the contribution an individual 'prop' trader made to returns.

"As information (from former 'prop' traders) is not readily available, it definitely takes effort to try and figure out the true story," Lisa Fridman, head of European Research at fund of funds house Pacific Alternative Asset Management Company, said.

STILL LAUNCHING

Nevertheless, several of the $2 trillion hedge fund industry's biggest names once ran money for a bank.

Alan Howard left Credit Suisse (CSGN.VX: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) in 2003 to start Brevan Howard, now one of Europe's biggest hedge funds, while Michael Platt has grown BlueCrest into a more than $30 billion firm since leaving JP Morgan to go it alone in 2000.

Investors have also shown a willingness to back big-name traders recently even when performance has not been great.

Ex-Credit Suisse natural gas trader George "Beau" Taylor planned to close his Taylor Woods Capital Management commodity hedge fund to new investment at more than $1 billion, industry sources said in March, despite a difficult time in 2011.

After a year in which even the most experienced managers struggled to break even, Greenwich-based Taylor said in a letter to investors it had turned a corner, with the fund up 3.25 percent to March 9 this year, partly thanks to a shift towards bullish bets on the price of oil.

And Roger Ganpatsingh, a director at Throgmorton, which provides back-office services like accounting and human resources for hedge funds, including those starting out, said ex-bank traders continued to show an interest in launching on their own.

Where managers had decided to delay a launch it was typically because of a "difficulty in fund raising" rather than concerns about their own ability to produce returns, he said.

But investors are growing increasingly impatient about returns, with the average hedge fund losing money in two of the past four years, so former 'prop' traders have little time to prove themselves and live up to their star status.

"This year will be the moment of truth for hedge funds because a lot of managers have just been scared, protecting capital and missing out on the rally ... A lot of people from prop desks have not been able to transition to the new model well so they are the ones that are most at risk," Kairos' Gesualdi said.


(With additional reporting by Nishant Kumar in Hong Kong and Sinead Cruise and Chris Vellacott in London; Editing by Greg Mahlich)

Sunday, May 27, 2012

(BN) Ferrari Deaths Fuel Anti-Foreigner Anger as Singapore Votes


The reality is that Singapore can afford to be less welcoming than other countries, because it has had such a headstart vs KL, Jakarta, Bangkok...

Bloomberg News, sent from my Android phone

May 25 (Bloomberg) -- At 4:09 a.m. on May 12, Chinese national Ma Chi sped through a Singapore stop light in his $1.4 million Ferrari 599 GTO and slammed into a taxi, killing himself and two others and sparking a wave of anti-foreigner sentiment.

The crash, caught on camera by another cab and viewed more than 7 million times on the Internet, prompted ministers to try to defuse public anger over immigration policies and the rising wealth gap that caused the ruling party's worst performance since independence in last year's general election. Within days of the crash, Deputy Prime Minister Teo Chee Hean urged people on his Facebook page not to "blame all foreigners."

With 3.3 million citizens and 1.9 million foreign residents, the government is under pressure to placate voters without disrupting the influx of talent and labor that helped forge the only advanced economy in Southeast Asia. Tomorrow, the first by- election since last year's national poll will test whether Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong's efforts to win back support are succeeding.

"The mood in the country a year after the elections is not good," said Bridget Welsh, a political science professor at the Singapore Management University. "It's a barometer of how the government has performed in the past year. The foreigners are becoming the punching bag."

More Millionaires

Government policies to attract wealth and boost economic growth gave Singapore the world's fastest-rising number of millionaires in 2010, while adding about 1 million foreigners since 2005. Public discontent surfaced when the strain on the rail system caused its worst breakdown in December, while a tax on car ownership linked to demand rose to S$92,050 ($72,083) this month and increasing property prices boosted inflation.

Tomorrow's poll is for the Hougang district that the opposition Workers' Party has held for 20 years. After Lee's People's Action Party won the general election last year with the smallest-ever margin of popular votes, he introduced stricter immigration policies and cut ministerial pay. Lee said in December that tighter limits on immigration will mean forgoing business opportunities and accepting slower growth.

About 23,000 people are eligible to vote tomorrow, 1 percent of the island's electorate. The seat is vacant after Yaw Shin Leong, who won 64.8 percent of votes last year, was expelled from his party in February for "indiscretions in his private life," said the Workers' Party, which nominated 50- year-old businessman Png Eng Huat.

National Issues

The candidate for the People's Action Party, co-founded by the prime minister's father, Lee Kuan Yew, is Desmond Choo, 34, a trade union official and former police officer. While he has campaigned on local issues such as upgrading public housing, a survey of 50 residents carried out by Today newspaper this month showed a majority of residents are looking at national policies including the cost of living and the influx of foreigners.

The island is ranked by the World Bank as the easiest place to do business, attracting the likes of Facebook Inc. co-founder Eduardo Saverin, who renounced U.S. citizenship in 2011 to work and live in the Southeast Asian nation. Foreigners are in every industry, from construction workers to hedge-fund managers.

The Boston Consulting Group said in a May 2011 report that Singapore's millionaire population expanded the fastest globally, rising by almost 33 percent. The city had the highest proportion of millionaire households at 15.5 percent.

'So Welcoming'

"These rich foreigners have come in, and driven up our property prices, especially the Chinese," said Sebastian Tan, a Singaporean salesman in the construction industry. "Just see how our property prices have shot up in the last few years since the government became so welcoming towards foreigners."

An index of private residential home prices in the city has risen 80 percent in the past seven years.

Ma, 30, from China's Sichuan province, paid S$3 million for his two-story, sea-view penthouse, his wife He Ting Ting was cited as saying in the Chinese language Lianhe Wanbao newspaper. She said Ma was a "self-made tycoon" who bought the Ferrari for S$1.8 million for his 30th birthday last year and also owned a S$400,000 BMW. She did not want to answer questions, according to a person at the apartment who wouldn't give his name.

Income inequality in Singapore has risen since 2000. The average monthly wage for the poorest 10 percent of households increased by S$250 to S$1,581 in the decade to 2011, compared with a S$10,400 jump to S$27,867 for the top 10 percent.

Wage Rise

This week, the government-appointed National Wages Council recommended a salary increase for low-wage workers of at least S$50 a month. The increase amounts to 5 percent for workers earning S$1,000 a month, less than the 5.4 percent inflation rate in April. Price gains are forecast by the central bank to average 3.5 percent to 4.5 percent in 2012.

In the past year, the government raised property taxes for non-Singaporeans and speeded up construction of public housing. Lee also made permanent a program to provide cash, utility rebates and medical funds for the elderly and low-income households. The government is subsidizing bus companies' purchases of new vehicles to reduce crowding on public transport and adding hospital beds.

Still, efforts to reduce the inflow of workers since 2010 have had little effect. The foreign workforce has grown 7.5 percent annually over the last two years, Finance Minister Tharman Shanmugaratnam said in February as he imposed new rules on the percentage of overseas labor that companies are allowed.

'Blamed for Everything'

"If Singapore decides to offer opportunities to foreigners, I don't think foreigners should be blamed for everything that goes wrong," said Justin Li, a store manager at a Hush Puppies shoe outlet in Singapore, who comes from China's Hubei province.

SMRT Corp., named the world's best metro operator in 2009, has attracted 50 percent more customers in the past five years as population growth accelerated and tourism increased. The company promised to spend S$900 million to upgrade its network and signaling after the December breakdowns.

While tomorrow's poll will be a barometer of support for government policies, it won't alter the balance in parliament, where the People's Action Party has 81 of the 87 seats. The PAP has governed the country since 1959.

Of the 122,600 jobs created in Singapore last year, about 70 percent, or 84,800 positions, went to foreigners.

"Maybe some lower-income earners feel resentment to foreigners because they may feel that their jobs have been taken away," said Loh Wai Meng, a Singaporean sales manager at IPG Photonics Corp. "Foreigners are an easy target to blame when something goes wrong."

To contact the reporters on this story: Shamim Adam in Singapore at sadam2@bloomberg.net ; Andrea Tan in Singapore at atan17@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Stephanie Phang at sphang@bloomberg.net

Find out more about Bloomberg for Android: http://m.bloomberg.com/android

Thursday, May 24, 2012

(BN) Facebook at $22 Seen in Europe’s Structured Warrants


The market dares say what journalists dare not

Bloomberg News, sent from my Android phone

May 24 (Bloomberg) -- Facebook Inc. may fall more than 42 percent below its initial public offering price by the end of the year, according to bets by structured-product investors.

The most actively traded structured products tied to Facebook since its IPO have been so-called put warrants, whose buyers profit if the shares drop below a pre-defined level, in some cases as low as $22, data compiled by Bloomberg show. UBS AG, Commerzbank AG and Julius Baer Group Ltd. are among lenders that listed 1,504 warrants and certificates in Europe linked to shares of the social networking site that were offered at $38.

Since raising $16 billion on May 17 in the biggest technology IPO of all time, Facebook has tumbled, closing at $32 yesterday. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and the brokerage industry's watchdog both said they may review the deal, after a person familiar with the matter said Facebook and Morgan Stanley, the lead underwriter, increased the offering price to persuade the company's backers to sell more of their stock.

"There has been strong demand on the put side, with the ratio between puts and calls at around 70/30" with "some people expressing deep downside views," Heiko Geiger, the head of public distribution for Germany and Austria at Bank Vontobel AG in Frankfurt, said in an interview yesterday.

Ashley Zandy, a spokeswoman for the Menlo Park, California- based company, declined to comment.

Best Seller

Bank Vontobel's best-selling Facebook-linked product is a put warrant that will reward investors if the shares are below $22, the so-called strike price, in December, said Geiger. Put warrants give investors a cash payment depending on how far a stock falls below a set level.

Julius Baer sold the securities with the largest trading volumes, two put warrants with strikes of $35 and $30 on the Scoach exchange in Zurich. Investors traded 402,000 contracts yesterday valued at $335,780 of the former and 603,000 warrants for $322,620 of the latter, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

Zurich-based structured products distributor EFG Financial Products AG added Facebook shares to a basket of 10 social media companies that are tracked by a certificate that has traded on Scoach since last month, it said in an e-mailed statement.

Facebook rose in German share trading today, climbing 1.6 percent to $32.50 as of 12:14 p.m. in Frankfurt.

Massachusetts Subpoena

The Massachusetts security division subpoenaed Morgan Stanley this week over its communications with clients. The firm said it handled the May 17 sale properly.

The cost to short-sell Facebook has surged to the most- expensive level in a 10-point scale developed by Data Explorers Ltd., which said bets against the social-media company amount to 4.3 percent of shares sold in the IPO.

About 18 million Facebook shares are on loan, an indication of short selling, London- and New York-based research company Data Explorers said in an e-mail, citing trades settled as of May 22. Facebook's underwriters sold 421.2 million shares to the public last week last week.

The loans represent about 1 percent of Facebook's 2.14 billion Class A and Class B shares outstanding, according to Data Explorers. That compares with 5.3 percent for Zynga Inc. and 4.1 percent for LinkedIn Corp., the data show.

To contact the reporter on this story: Alastair Marsh in London at amarsh25@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Paul Armstrong at parmstrong10@bloomberg.net

Find out more about Bloomberg for Android: http://m.bloomberg.com/android

(BN) Google Void Seen as Opportunity for China Mobile App Store: Tech

Ignorant West doesn't know the app called 91软件

Bloomberg News, sent from my Android phone

May 23 (Bloomberg) -- Google Inc.'s Android operating system runs two-thirds of the smartphones sold in China yet the company's online app store, Google Play, isn't open for business there because of censorship concerns. That's creating an opportunity for China Mobile Ltd.

The world's biggest phone company by subscribers opened its Mobile Market store for Android apps in 2009, and it now has 158 million registered users. Customers have downloaded more than 630 million apps, making Mobile Market the world's largest carrier-operated app store, said Jack Kent of IHS Screen Digest.

The success of Mobile Market comes at a welcome juncture for the wireless giant, fueling revenue growth as its core business matures. China Mobile competes with Apple Inc.'s App Store in a nation where Analysys International said mobile applications and services are set to jump 80 percent to 220 billion yuan ($35 billion) this year as cheaper smartphones make surfing the Web more affordable.

"Without having to compete with the official Google store, China Mobile has an opportunity that operators in other countries don't have," said Kent, a London-based analyst. "China Mobile's relationship with subscribers leaves it well- placed to take advantage."

The carrier's data services business, including Mobile Market, jumped 15 percent last year to 139.3 billion yuan, compared with an 8.8 percent growth in total sales.

Facebook, Twitter

China Mobile shares fell 0.8 percent to HK$81.90 in Hong Kong trading today, trimming the gains this year to 7.9 percent.

Shipments of smartphones in China are projected to jump 52 percent this year to 137 million units, overtaking the U.S. for the first time as the world's biggest market, according to a March estimate from market researcher IDC.

Phones running Android accounted for 68 percent of sales in the fourth quarter, while Apple's iPhone made up 5.7 percent, according to Beijing-based Analysys International. Apple's online store generated about $2.9 billion in global app sales last year, compared with about $618 million for Google, Kent estimated.

"The reason we care about this business is that it can help drive or promote our other businesses," China Mobile's Chief Executive Officer Li Yue said in a May 16 interview. "If a developer makes a very good app, then it will help boost traffic on our network and help our growth that way."

All Web content in China is censored, and that control extends to online stores selling apps, games and e-books. Both Mobile Market and Apple's Chinese-language store, which takes payment in local currency, abide by government censorship restrictions and don't offer apps to access the blocked websites of Facebook Inc., Twitter Inc. and YouTube Inc.

Google Censorship

Google said in January 2010 it was no longer willing to self-censor content for Chinese services, so it shuttered its local search page and redirected users to a Hong Kong site. Taj Meadows, a Tokyo-based spokesman for Google, declined to comment on why Google Play was unavailable in China. The store has more than 450,000 apps and games, the company said in March.

China Mobile's store has 68,663 apps, compared with 560,957 for Apple, said Sun Peilin, a researcher at Analysys International. Mobile Market's offerings include Instagram Inc.'s photo-sharing and editing software, and Rovio Entertainment Oy's Angry Birds, Angry Birds Seasons and Angry Birds Space.

China Mobile's sales from applications and information services grew 12 percent to 48.4 billion yuan last year, accounting for 9.2 percent of total sales and overtaking text messages as the company's biggest source of data revenue.

Drive Traffic

That total includes 22 billion yuan from mobile music, 1.5 billion yuan from mobile e-mail services, 627 million yuan from e-books and 571 million yuan from mobile videos, according to the company's annual report.

Mobile Market has become the world's largest Chinese- language application software platform, Li said.

Sales from the Mobile Market last year were about 23 million yuan, though the traffic generated by app downloads among China Mobile's 667.2 million mobile-phone subscribers is more important to the carrier, Li said.

China Mobile is forecast to post its third straight year of sales growth after reporting revenue gains of at least 10 percent from the time of its 1997 Hong Kong listing through 2009. Sales growth may slow to 7 percent this year, according to the average of 31 analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg.

Unicom, Telecom

China Mobile isn't the only local company looking to fill the Google gap for Android apps. Analysys International tracks 13 major app stores in China, including from carriers China Unicom (Hong Kong) Ltd. and China Telecom Corp., and device makers including Lenovo Group Ltd.

"We see a lot of competition in the app store space in China," said Lisa Soh, a Hong Kong-based analyst with Macquarie Group Ltd. "The competition in app platforms is likely to mean it will be more difficult to monetize."

One thing that may help China Mobile generate sales is that it offers the highest percentage of paid apps versus free apps among all stores in China, Sun said. Mobile Market charges for 91 percent of its apps, while China Unicom charges for 77 percent and Apple's for 48 percent.

Many games in China Mobile's shop are offered in local currency prices that range from the equivalent of 50 cents to $1.50.

"A couple of years ago, everyone began to realize how huge Apple's App store was becoming and wanted into that market," said Neil Juggins, a Hong Kong-based analyst at JI Asia Research Ltd.

To contact Bloomberg News staff for this story: Edmond Lococo in Beijing at elococo@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Michael Tighe at mtighe4@bloomberg.net

Find out more about Bloomberg for Android: http://m.bloomberg.com/android

Sunday, May 20, 2012



This makes a mockery of the institution of marriage, when a girlfriend has the same rights as a legally acknowledged wife. Good luck to France, you have a "First Girlfriend" with 2 failed marriages and 3 children - just the stability France needs right now.


France's unwed first lady makes summit debut
WASHINGTON — A demure and elegant Valerie Trierweiler took her first steps on the world stage as France's new -- unwed -- first lady Saturday, joining Michelle Obama and G8 summit wives on a White House tour.
Trierweiler, the partner of new French President Francois Hollande, wore a black, knee length wrap dress, with black heels and carried a handbag, as she and other leaders' wives viewed the East Room of the White House.
The first ladies then tucked into an intimate lunch of Maryland Rockfish with local asparagus, grapefruit, Virginia berries, and vegetables from the White House Garden, followed by tangerine sorbet with Virginia strawberries.
Other G8 spouses at the White House as the summit went ahead at the presidential retreat at Camp David, Maryland, included Laureen Harper of Canada, Hitomi Noda of Japan, and Elsa Antonioli Monti of Italy.
German Chancellor Angela Merkel's husband, professor Joachim Sauer, did not take part in the tour or lunch.
Trierweiler, who has been Hollande's partner since 2007, on Friday took part in a reception at the French embassy in Paris.
She is also expected to link up again with the spouses of world leaders in Chicago on Sunday, at a NATO summit also hosted by President Barack Obama.
She will join Mrs Obama and fellow spouses on a visit to the south-side Gary Comer Youth Center followed by a private dinner at the Art Institute of Chicago. On Monday, Trierweiler is scheduled to visit a French international school in Chicago.
US officials have said that there is no established protocol rule for how unmarried partners of world leaders should be treated.
So Trierweiler was invited to participate in all spousal programs at both the G8 and in Chicago.
The 47-year-old journalist -- twice divorced and the mother of three children, has caused a stir in the US media.
But outlets have been puzzled about how to describe the female half of the first unmarried occupants of the Elysees Palace, with CNN favoring "girlfriend" and others opting for "spouse," "partner" or "companion."

Chen thanks US, praises China


Everyone, lets get real. The reason why China let him go is they don't want a single blind man to ruin US China ties. The reason why US is protesting is because of some people are living in their small little space in Utah thinking all people and animals are free, including the meat of the cow they just ate.

Chen has done it good for himself. He was well fed in China, his fake handicap and humble gestures circulated all over the press. While his countrymen, many ill, blind and handicapped, have the spirit to plow on. 

Good riddance Chen Guangcheng, let's see if you'll make yourself a pest in US too.




Chen thanks US, praises China

From:AAP
May 20, 2012 11:26AM




AFTER landing in the United States to begin a new life, blind Chinese activist Chen Guangcheng has praised Beijing's "restraint and calm" during the month-long tussle that tested China-US ties.


Chen asked to say a "few simple words" as he, wife Yuan Weijing and their two children were greeted with cheers as they arrived at the New York University apartment block that is now their home.


"After much turbulence I have come out of Shandong. This is thanks to the assistance of many friends," he said. "At the most critical juncture the American embassy in China provided a safe haven and the American government has provided me with assistance and granted me citizenship rights here."


Chen expressed his gratitude to the American embassy for ushering him to a new life in the US, but also praised the "restraint and calm" of the Chinese government during the row, saying he believed Beijing's promises were "sincere".



The self-taught lawyer won international plaudits for investigating forced sterilisations and late-term abortions under China's "one-child" policy.


He and his family touched down at Newark Liberty International Airport, outside New York, on a United Airlines flight from Beijing shortly before 6.30pm yesterday (8:30am today AEST).


His arrival capped an odyssey that began when Chen escaped from his village in April after more than seven years either in prison or house arrest.


Earlier this month Chen gave a gripping account of his escape, describing how his wife had pushed him over the wall around their small home. He broke his foot when landing, but scrambled to a neighbour's pig sty, where he hid until nightfall.


After a long and painful journey through fields and over walls, he made his way to a friend's home, then to the US embassy. His shock arrival there sparked an international row that threatened to damage China-US relations.


Officials hastily struck a deal to let Chen go free - an agreement that appeared to suit both sides.


That accord hit a snag before protracted negotiations secured a new agreement to allow him to participate in a fellowship at New York University.


After more than two weeks in a Beijing hospital, Chen was suddenly given notice earlier on Saturday to prepare for departure.

Jiang Tianyong, a lawyer and friend, said Chen had mixed feelings about leaving China but thought it was "the best he could do to ensure his personal safety".


US politicians have welcomed Chen's arrival but many are concerned about his family and other dissidents who remain in China.


"The arrival of Chen Guangcheng to the United States is a milestone in the cause for human rights in China," said former House of Representatives speaker Nancy Pelosi.


"The courage of Chen Guangcheng to risk his life and livelihood to advocate for disadvantaged people in China is an inspiration to freedom-seeking people around the world."


As a research fellow at NYU, Chen is expected to work with other law school experts.


"I look forward to welcoming him and his family tonight, and to working with him on his course of study," said Jerome Cohen, co-director of the US-Asia Law Institute at the NYU School of Law.

The Big Lie of the Facebook IPO: Opinion


Emperor has no clothes Daddy!


The Big Lie of the Facebook IPO: Opinion


By Dana Blankenhorn05/19/12 - 02:07 PM EDT
Add Comment



NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- On Friday, like most of you, I watched the nation's media help to perpetrate one of the great frauds in American history.


Consider. If I can barely sell 15% of something at $38 a share, if I have to lay out millions-upon-millions of dollars to prop up that price for a single day, what makes you think I can sell the rest of it at that price, or anything like that price? Exactly.


Yet there was ABC News claiming that Bono'sElevation Partners "made" $1.6 billion in theFacebook(FB_) IPO. There were anchors on all the other networks breathlessly claiming that there were now hundreds of "Menlo Park millionaires" who held shares in the social networking company.


I spent much of the day at Stocktwits, watching people with money comment on the action in real time. As the day went on, the mood went from euphoria to anger to disgust. A typical comment: "When I got up today, it felt like the Superbowl. Now it feels like it's the 4th quarter of a 45-0 blowout."


The insiders knew the story: The brokers who were in the IPO were standing by with orders to buy at $38, no matter what, all day. And they knew, we all know, that won't go on for long.


Even while this was happening, with Facebook trades coming across at both $42 and $38 and change at the same time in after-hours trading, CNBC kept pretending nothing was happening on its own ticker.


Why wasn't anyone, on any network, allowed to say that this new technology emperor was wearing no clothes, that the company wasn't worth anything near what brokers were claiming it was worth, that a fraud was being perpetrated on the public investor?


I'm still waiting for an answer.


Now I know Facebook makes a great story. It sounds just like the dot-com bubble of the 1990s, where everyone believed they could get rich quick. Even me.


But it was nothing like that.


The gains were all gotten by the insiders, by the venture capitalists and brokers who bought into the company first. I have no doubt the company is worth many times what Bono paid for his stake. But by the time Facebook went public -- long before, in fact -- it was a fairly mature enterprise facing serious headwinds.

As Facebook millionaires party, what future for new shareholders?


Its really quite amusing the hordes of fund managers oversubscribing the facebook IPO. As I have envisaged, the winners are the original owners of facebook. The selfish bastards left nothing on the table, but who is to blame them? The new shareholders are the suckers. Wealth is transferred for the stupid to the less dumb. 

Let's look at what happens on Monday, when the stock price will plunge further, and see the underwriters lose their pants trying to get the price up above water.

This stock is worth no more than 5x PE, and at best worth $5bn. It is going the way of MySpace, Geocities and the like. Nothing is going to change its fate.


-------------------------


As Facebook millionaires party, what future for new shareholders?


An expected 'pop' in share prices never came as Facebook went public this week. But Facebook's IPO was a measured affair, lacking in irrational exuberance, and laying the groundwork for the network's main challenge: Turning 'friends' into consumers.


By Patrik Jonsson, Staff writer / May 19, 2012

ATLANTA
Speculators hoping for a big “buy, sell” cash out from the Facebook IPO were mostly disappointed Friday as Wall Street agreed that the $38 per share asking price set by the social network’s founder, Mark Zuckerberg, was just about right for the launch of the 8-year-old company’s publicly-owned entity.
The historic IPO – the second largest ever, behind VISA – made billionaires and millionaires out of hundreds of Facebookers as the company raised $16 billion by selling 421 million shares, setting the stage for the evolution of a firm that started as a digital college kid hangout to become a profitable purveyor of personal status updates and “likes” connecting about 15 percent of the world’s population
But as its value rose to rival corporate behemoths like McDonald’s and Amazon, the Facebook IPO also represented an uneasy ascendancy of a company that many people say teeters on being a fad, run by a 28-year-old wunderkind who prefers hoodies and sneakers over suits and ties.
Although several underwriting banks had to buy shares in order to keep the price from dipping below its offering price, some analysts saw the measured debut as a good sign, setting the company up for a decent shot at building a profitable ad model to boost the company’s earnings and value.
“Zuckerberg priced the shares correct,” writes columnist Nathan Vardi, at Forbes. “This was not a modest debut; it was a home run.”
The stock price rose slightly on Friday as prospectors prodded before falling back to around $38.
The IPO created instant wealth for hundreds of private share holders, mostly around California’sMenlo Park. Zuckerberg himself is now worth $19 billion, about five times the company’s annual revenues, and U2 singer Bono, an early investor, saw his worth rise by $1.5 billion, making him the wealthiest musician in the world, richer than Paul McCartney.
But the IPO also came amid growing questions, including from General Motors, about whether Facebook’s ad model actually works. GM decided to pull a $10 million ad buy. And with revenue growth slowing, Facebook has also struggled in the mobile space, which will become, according to Zuckerberg, its prime goal this year.
The company has also struggled with privacy concerns, since it uses personal information to target ads. While some polls have suggested that Americans may be tiring of the “social utility,” it has, some experts note, become almost too ubiquitous to fail.
With public investors eyeing the company’s every move, the push to monetize content on the site is likely to be stepped up as Facebook now has to prove it can make money, all of which will continue to test the creativity of the young – and now very rich – Facebook brain trust.
“There is more pressure to make money and I think users see that,” says Roger Cheng, the executive editor of the tech site CNET, in a recent CNBC interview. “That said, people are stuck with Facebook, all their friends are on it. So … even if people are turned off by the ads, it is tough to see people leaving the Facebook service."
That fact alone won’t likely be enough to allay worries among Facebook’s new share owners and the bankers who bought shares to prop up the price.
As the IPO party continues on the West Coast – where Porsches are flying off dealers’ lots into the garages of newly-minted overnight millionaires – “anxiety increases on the East [Coast] – at least for the bankers fearful of Monday morning,” writes tech columnist Paul Sloan.
So far, most Wall Street analysts are holding back assessments until Monday's opening bell. Some, however, are already saying "sell."
“While we like the company, we’re troubled by investors’ perception of the risks,” said Brian Wieser, an analyst for Pivotal Research Group, in a meeting with reporters. “It’s priced for perfection and that’s clearly implausible.”

Wednesday, May 9, 2012

(BN) Ex-Deutsche Securities Banker to Start Hedge Fund Investing in Commodities

Bloomberg News, sent from my iPad.

Ex-Deutsche Securities Banker Plans Commodities Hedge Fund

May 9 (Bloomberg) -- Ryo Ishiyama, a former Deutsche Securities Inc. banker, plans to start a hedge fund investing in global commodities futures as early as July using a strategy he employed on his own personal investments.

The hedge fund will employ a so-called CTA strategy that uses computer systems to invest in exchange-traded futures around the world, said Ishiyama, 32, who set up Tokyo-based Steinberg Capital Co. in October 2011. The fund will have 300 million yen ($3.8 million) initially, 200 million yen of which is Ishiyama's own money. He plans to raise the fund's maximum capacity of 1 billion yen in about a year, he said.

Ishiyama joins a breed of new hedge funds seeking to provide alternative investments for Japanese clients following AIJ Investment Advisors Co.'s suspension by regulators for allegedly losing more than $1 billion with hedge-fund strategies. Ishiyama said he began investing 10 million yen of his own money in 2006 and that grew to 200 million yen by using a systematic trading strategy.

"What I want to offer isn't investments that cater to investors' requests, but rather want to attract investors who understands my strategy and are willing to put in money because of my strategy," Ishiyama said in an interview in Tokyo yesterday. "As we've seen in AIJ's case, you don't run a fund for the sake of raising more money -- you run a fund to make returns."

Newcomers

Ishiyama's fund will target annual returns of about 20 percent and will have a Sharpe ratio of 2.3, he said. Sharpe ratio is a formula which analyzes whether investments offer enough returns to offset their risks. The greater a fund's Sharpe ratio the better its risk-adjusted performance. Funds employing equity strategies would typically have a Sharpe ratio of about 1, he said.

The new fund will invest in global commodities markets including the New York Mercantile Exchange, the world's largest energy exchange, and the Tokyo Commodity Exchange, Ishiyama said.

Most Japanese institutional investors are buying passive funds that track indexes to tap the commodities markets, leading to mispricings that create opportunities, Ishiyama said.

Traditional CTAs, which rely on developing computer models that fit historical price curves, do well in markets with clear trends. They tend to lose money when markets suddenly change direction. The Eurekahedge CTA/Managed Futures Hedge Fund Index has declined 0.6 percent through April.

"I am only seeking to raise money with the capacity of the strategy and not any more until I enhance the system," he said. "For now, I want to focus on managing private money, which is mostly my own money, to build my track record."

Almost 21 percent of Japanese pension funds plan to increase alternative investments in the fiscal year that started on April 1, a survey by JPMorgan Chase & Co.'s Tokyo-based asset management unit. The increase was the most among 10 asset types.

Ishiyama said he will officially leave Deutsche Securities, where he developed fixed-income derivative products after joining in Tokyo in 2010, at the end of the month. He began his career in 2002 at Daiwa SB Capital Markets where he was an equity derivatives trader, after which he worked at Citigroup Global Markets and Morgan Stanley in Tokyo, where he developed derivatives products.

To contact the reporters on this story: Tomoko Yamazaki in Singapore at tyamazaki@bloomberg.net Komaki Ito in Tokyo at kito@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Andreea Papuc at apapuc1@bloomberg.net .

Find out more about Bloomberg for iPad: http://m.bloomberg.com/ipad/


Sent from my iPad