Saturday, October 1, 2011

(BN) Alibaba Group Chairman Jack Ma Says He’s ‘Very Interested’ in Buying Yahoo


He played on his turf and made his rules. Now play on international rules and see how he survives...

Temasek, for heaven's sake, do a good deed and stop associating with this guy!!


Bloomberg News, sent from my iPad.
Alibaba's Ma Says He's 'Very Interested' in Buying Yahoo
Oct. 1 (Bloomberg) -- Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. Chairman Jack Ma said he's "very interested" in buying Yahoo! Inc., the U.S. Web portal that ousted its chief executive officer last month amid stagnant growth and shrinking market share.
Ma said he's had discussions with Yahoo, as well as other potential buyers, without identifying them. The executive, whose company is 40 percent owned by Yahoo, spoke at an event at Stanford University near Palo Alto, California.
"We are very interested in Yahoo because our Alibaba Group is so important to Yahoo, and Yahoo is also very important to us," Ma said, when asked if he would buy the company. "There are so many people who are interested in that, and we are also talking to them."
Yahoo executives said in a memo last week that their advisers have fielded inquiries from "multiple parties" interested in unspecified options. Ma's existing relationship with Yahoo may give him an advantage in putting a deal together, said Brett Harris, an analyst at Gabelli & Co. in Rye, New York.
"It would make sense for Alibaba to be involved because they own such a large stake," said Harris, who recommends buying Yahoo and doesn't own the stock. "Yahoo investors at this point are so disillusioned that they would welcome any buyer."
Dana Lengkeek, a spokeswoman for Sunnyvale, California- based Yahoo, declined to comment.
Stock Gains
Yahoo rose as much as 76 cents, or 5.8 percent, in late trading. Before the remarks, the shares had fallen 25 cents to $13.17 on the Nasdaq Stock Market. The stock is down 21 percent this year.
The company is reviewing strategy and seeking a new CEO after ousting Carol Bartz, who failed to reverse a growth slowdown or repel competition from Google Inc. and Facebook Inc. The process for reviewing strategic options is likely to take "months, not weeks," according to the memo, which was signed by co-founders Jerry Yang and David Filo and Chairman Roy Bostock.
As of mid-September, private-equity investor Silver Lake was considering a bid for Yahoo, people involved in the deliberations said at the time. As part of a deal, Silver Lake would sell off Yahoo's Asian assets and then attempt to turn around the main operations or find a buyer for that business, the people said. Representatives from Silver Lake have approached other companies to gauge interest in purchasing Yahoo's main business, one person said.
Asian Stakes
Yahoo's Asian assets include stakes in Yahoo Japan Corp. and Alibaba Group, which provides e-commerce services in China.
Ma said he's interested in all of Yahoo and that discussions are proving thornier than he initially expected. Negotiations are hitting snags over "political issues," rather than financial ones, he said.
Ma is "pretty close friends" with Yahoo's Yang, he said. Even so, Ma said he hasn't visited the company's headquarters during his current visit to the U.S.
When Yang was CEO in 2008, before Bartz was hired, Yahoo spurned a $47.5 billion offer by Microsoft Corp. The two companies later struck an agreement to outsource Yahoo's search technology to Microsoft, diminishing the chance of a takeover. Yahoo now has market value of $16.6 billion.
Alibaba reached an agreement in July with Yahoo, following a four-month dispute initiated after Alibaba transferred Alipay -- China's most popular online-payment service -- to a Chinese company controlled by Ma. Under the accord, Alibaba will get at least $2 billion in the case of an initial public offering or "other liquidity event" at Alipay.
Ma's role in the Alipay dispute may make it more difficult for his company to acquire Yahoo, said Laura Martin, an analyst at Needham & Co. in Los Angeles.
"Jack Ma has damaged his credibility in American capital markets by his transfer of Alipay," said Martin, who has a "buy" rating on shares of Yahoo and doesn't own the stock. "With him, I'd get the cash at closing. You never know what you're going to end up with."
To contact the reporters on this story: Douglas Macmillan in New York at dmacmillan3@bloomberg.net Ian King in San Francisco at ianking@bloomberg.net
To contact the editor responsible for this story: Tom Giles at tgiles5@bloomberg.net
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Thursday, September 29, 2011

(BN) Calpers Investment Chief Says 7.75% Return May Be Tough to Meet

Bloomberg News, sent from my Android phone

Sept. 29 (Bloomberg) -- The California Public Employees' Retirement System, with half its money in equities, will be hard-pressed to return 7.75 percent this year as the weak U.S. recovery and deepening debt crisis in Europe weigh on global stocks, its investment chief said.

Calpers, the largest U.S. public pension fund, assumes it will earn an average of 7.75 percent annually to meet its obligations. It spreads losses and gains over 15 years to blunt the impact that annual swings may have on the amount of money the fund charges taxpayers to finance retirement benefits for government workers.

"That's going to be tough this year and maybe for the next few years," Calpers Chief Investment Officer Joe Dear said in a Bloomberg Television interview yesterday. "This low-return environment is structurally driven, and there's not a lot of policy to move it."

The fund earned 20.7 percent in the 12 months ended June 30, its best result in 14 years, led by gains in stocks and private equity. Since then, Calpers's value has dropped by $20 billion to $218.6 billion as of Sept. 26, as global stocks declined 18 percent.

Even with the fiscal 2011 gains, the pension fund has earned 3.41 percent annually on average in the past five years, 5.36 percent in the last 10 and 6.97 percent in the last 15. It has only beaten its assumed rate of return with a 20-year average of 8.38 percent annually.

Nationwide, state pensions will achieve a median annual return of 6.5 percent in the next 15 years, according to a February study by Wilshire Associates, the Santa Monica, California, investment adviser.

'Absolutely Confident'

"Do I think its achievable over the long term, the 15 to 20 year horizon? I'm absolutely confident about that," Dear said yesterday in a follow-up telephone interview.

The fund's governing board in March decided against a recommendation by its actuaries to reduce its assumed rate of return on the expectation that markets would trail the historical average. The fund lost almost a quarter of its value in 2009 as the global recession dragged down stock prices and real-estate values.

"Once you look at a significant length of time, the cycles smooth out and a portfolio with a patient, disciplined approach will produce a return that matches our expectation of 7.75 percent," Dear said.

70% Funded

Calpers in January said it had only about 70 percent of the money it needs to cover benefits promised to government workers when they retire. The pension was fully funded when the recession began in December 2007.

Dear said the fund will look beyond stocks to its other asset classes, such as private equity, hedge funds and infrastructure, to help boost returns.

Calpers has about 14 percent, or $33.6 billion as of June 30, invested in private-equity funds, which returned 25.3 percent through the end of that month.

"We are in a low-return environment with a lot of downside risk right now," Dear said. "You need to be realistic about the prospects and you need to ask what are the alternatives that might produce a better return than a classic stock-bond portfolio."

To contact the reporters on this story: Michael B. Marois in Sacramento at mmarois@bloomberg.net ; Scarlet Fu in New York at scarfu@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Mark Tannenbaum at mtannen@bloomberg.net

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Tuesday, September 27, 2011

Particles found to break speed of light

 

great discovery of breaking light speed...if only those 750 super geeks in underground labs in italy could just put some time solving europe's debt crisis, instead of incurring more costs smashing anti matter into each other, the world would be more thankful i think!

UPDATE 1-Particles found to break speed of light

GENEVA, Sept 22 (Reuters) - An international team of scientists said on Thursday they had recorded sub-atomic particles travelling faster than light -- a finding that could overturn one of Einstein's long-accepted fundamental laws of the universe.
Antonio Ereditato, spokesman for the researchers, told Reuters that measurements taken over three years showed neutrinos pumped from CERN near Geneva to Gran Sasso in Italy had arrived 60 nanoseconds quicker than light would have done.
"We have high confidence in our results. We have checked and rechecked for anything that could have distorted our measurements but we found nothing," he said. "We now want colleagues to check them independently."
If confirmed, the discovery would undermine Albert Einstein's 1905 theory of special relativity, which says that the speed of light is a "cosmic constant" and that nothing in the universe can travel faster.
That assertion, which has withstood over a century of testing, is one of the key elements of the so-called Standard Model of physics, which attempts to describe the way the universe and everything in it works.
The totally unexpected finding emerged from research by a physicists working on an experiment dubbed OPERA run jointly by the CERN particle research centre near Geneva and the Gran Sasso Laboratory in central Italy.
A total of 15,000 beams of neutrinos -- tiny particles that pervade the cosmos -- were fired over a period of 3 years from CERN towards Gran Sasso 730 (500 miles) km away, where they were picked up by giant detectors.
Light would have covered the distance in around 2.4 thousandths of a second, but the neutrinos took 60 nanoseconds -- or 60 billionths of a second -- less than light beams would have taken.
"It is a tiny difference," said Ereditato, who also works at Berne University in Switzerland, "but conceptually it is incredibly important. The finding is so startling that, for the moment, everybody should be very prudent."
Ereditato declined to speculate on what it might mean if other physicists, who will be officially informed of the discovery at a meeting in CERN on Friday, found that OPERA's measurements were correct.
"I just don't want to think of the implications," he told Reuters. "We are scientists and work with what we know."
Much science-fiction literature is based on the idea that, if the light-speed barrier can be overcome, time travel might theoretically become possible.
The existence of the neutrino, an elementary sub-atomic particle with a tiny amount of mass created in radioactive decay or in nuclear reactions such as those in the Sun, was first confirmed in 1934, but it still mystifies researchers.
It can pass through most matter undetected, even over long distances, and without being affected. Millions pass through the human body every day, scientists say.
To reach Gran Sasso, the neutrinos pushed out from a special installation at CERN -- also home to the Large Hadron Collider probing the origins of the universe -- have to pass through water, air and rock.
The underground Italian laboratory, some 120 km (75 miles) to the south of Rome, is the largest of its type in the world for particle physics and cosmic research.
Around 750 scientists from 22 different countries work there, attracted by the possibility of staging experiments in its three massive halls, protected from cosmic rays by some 1,400 metres (4,200 feet) of rock overhead.

Saturday, September 24, 2011

Grübel letter to UBS staff

The ship is sinking, the passengers want to rid of the captain.


September 24, 2011 3:55 pm
Grübel letter to UBS staff

The following is a letter sent to UBS staff from Oswald Grübel, former chief executive, on Saturday after the Swiss bank said he was stepping down

Dear colleagues,
I have handed in my resignation as CEO to the Board of Directors today. That it was possible for one of our traders in London to inflict a multi-billion loss on our bank through unauthorized trading shocked me, as it did everyone else, deeply. This incident has worldwide repercussions, including political ones. I did not take the step of resigning lightly. I am convinced that it is in the best interests of UBS to approach the future with a new leader at the top.
The precise circumstances that led to the loss are being investigated by an independent body. Many questions remain open, and it is vital that they are cleared up in a comprehensive way. What is certain is that, as CEO, I bear full responsibility for what occurs at UBS. From my first day on the job I placed the reputation of the bank above all else. That is why I want to and must act according to my convictions. I hope my resignation makes it possible for our clients, our investors and the public to return their attention more quickly to the quality and strengths of our bank.
We achieved a great deal together in the past two-and-a-half years. The bank’s core businesses are well positioned in every important market, and we enjoy strong relationships with our clients. The loss represents a significant setback in our efforts to rebuild trust in our bank. However, you should have no doubt about the fundamental strengths of UBS. Because of you, the bank has made sustainable progress, which is something you can take pride in.
As I’ve always emphasized, a lot of work remains to be done here. So don’t let recent events distract you from your work. Continue giving your all and keep your focus on your clients. I am certain that UBS can carve out a strong place for itself within the fundamentally changing financial industry.
I want to extend you my sincere thanks for your strong commitment and support during my tenure. It was a privilege to be your CEO. I wish you and UBS only the best in the future.
Yours,
Oswald J. Grübel

Saturday, September 17, 2011

(BN) Goldman Sachs to Shut Global Alpha Hedge Fund as Clients Withdraw Money

Bloomberg News, sent from my iPad.

Goldman Sachs Shuts Global Alpha Fund as Clients Withdraw Money

Sept. 16 (Bloomberg) -- Goldman Sachs Group Inc., the fifth-biggest U.S. bank by assets, will shut its Global Alpha fund after clients pulled money from the quantitative trading pool that was once the firm's largest hedge fund.

Global Alpha will stop charging fees at the end of this month and aims to finish liquidating most assets by mid-October, according to a letter that Goldman Sachs Asset Management sent to clients Sept. 14. The fund, which managed $11 billion of assets in 2007, had less than $1.7 billion at the end of June, according to a person familiar with the matter who spoke on condition of anonymity because the numbers aren't public.

Goldman Sachs, led by Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Lloyd C. Blankfein, 56, has been shrinking Global Alpha since 2007 when it lost 40 percent because of bad bets on currencies, equities and bonds worldwide. The fund's co-managers Mark Carhart and Raymond Iwanowski quit in March 2009, and Katinka Domotorffy took charge of the quantitative investment strategies unit, which uses computers to pick securities and oversees $56 billion.

Reuters reported yesterday that the Global Alpha fund was down 12 percent through the end of August, and the Wall Street Journal reported that it was being shut. Ed Canaday, a spokesman for the New York-based bank, confirmed the letter's contents and said he couldn't comment on the performance.

Lehman Claims

Domotorffy is leaving at year-end and being replaced by new managers, including Armen Avanessians, a partner who has served on the securities division's executive committee since 2003, according to a separate letter to investors Sept. 14. Ron Hua, who oversaw $12 billion of equity assets at PanAgora Asset Management Inc., was hired as chief investment officer and head of the quantitative equity alpha business.

Goldman Sachs wrote in the letter that it aims to distribute 85 percent to 90 percent of the total proceeds from the fund's assets to clients by the end of October. The fund's claims against Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., which declared bankruptcy three years ago, may take longer and the fund may have liabilities to Lehman as well, according to the letter.

"We have extensively reviewed the fund's claims against, and potential liabilities to, Lehman Brothers and intend to vigorously pursue a resolution with Lehman Brothers that is in the best interests of investors in the fund," Goldman Sachs wrote. "We cannot predict when the fund will be able to make final distributions, if any, to investors in the fund."

Goldman Sachs is aiming to build the fund-management unit and improve its performance. The overall business had $844 billion under management at the end of June and generated 13 percent of the firm's revenue in this year's first six months.

Asset Management Moves

Avanessians, who joined Goldman Sachs in 1985 and became a partner in 1994, is the latest executive to move into asset management from other parts of the bank. Jim O'Neill, the chief economist, was appointed chairman of asset management last year. The investment unit's co-heads, Timothy J. O'Neill and Edward C. Forst, came from other divisions.

Bill Fallon, who became chief investment officer and head of alpha strategies when Domotorffy took over, will cede the equity business to Hua and focus on quantitative macro funds, according to the letter. Don Mulvihill will remain chief investment officer and head of customized beta strategies, Goldman Sachs said. Both will report to Avanessians, who will be based in New York. He will report to O'Neill and Forst, who signed the letter.

Domotorffy joined Goldman Sachs in 1998 as a portfolio manager and researcher with the quantitative global macro and fixed-income teams, according to the letter. She became head of strategy for the quantitative investment strategies group in 2007 before taking the leadership role two years later.

Carhart is now running Kepos Capital Management LP, which has $150 million under management and has made a 9 percent return so far this year, before fees, according to a person familiar with the matter.

To contact the reporter on this story: Christine Harper in New York at charper@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: David Scheer at dscheer@bloomberg.net .

Find out more about Bloomberg for iPad: http://m.bloomberg.com/ipad/


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Tuesday, September 13, 2011

Greek default preferable to quitting the euro

Rubbish this article. Its too late. Greece will default AND be kicked
out of the euro. Its rough, but its justice. Payback time for a
country and culture that works 6 hours a day and alcohol during lunch.
Goodbye and may their Greek Gods and Titans help them.

BREAKINGVIEWS
Greek default preferable to quitting the euro
HUGO DIXON
Reuters Breakingviews
Published Monday, Sep. 12, 2011 5:28PM EDT

A Greek default is not the same as quitting the euro. A common
misconception links the two together. But a default is both likely and
desirable, provided it is orderly. Bringing back the drachma is
neither. Not only would it be bad for Greece, it would be the
culmination of a major row within the euro zone and trigger a more
virulent phase of the crisis.

Athens' debt load will be unsupportable even after the half-hearted
default agreed in late July. Greece keeps veering off the plan that it
has agreed with its saviours, the euro zone and the International
Monetary Fund. Tension is rising at home, international relations are
being soured and markets' nerves are perpetually frayed. Cutting the
debt substantially would help put Greece on the road to recovery. Even
Germany, once dead set against any euro zone default before 2013,
seems to be coming around to the idea.

It is vital that such a default should be orderly. That means it
should be part of a new agreed program, which would continue to
provide cash to Greece in return for commitments to stick with its
reforms. It also means that Germany, France and others might have to
pump money into their own banks to deal with the fallout. But forcing
the banks to own up to their foolish lending would be a good thing.

But default doesn't mean abandoning the euro. Although Greece should
never have joined the single currency, kicking it out would create
havoc. There's no provision for an exit, much less for an ouster,
meaning that it could only happen as a result of an almighty
diplomatic row. The default would then be a disorderly one, leading to
a collapse of the Greek banking system. That wouldn't just hammer the
economy at home; the contagion throughout the rest of the euro zone
would be severe, with the danger of domino collapses of other banking
systems.

A properly planned default would be cathartic. Exit from the euro
would be the opposite.

Sunday, September 4, 2011

Singapore's success worthy of emulation

Its a great lesson for developing countries, and a model that perhaps
will no longer work in today's world where the those who know, those
who don't have the same 1 vote.


03 SEPTEMBER, 2011 20:53
KUSENI DLAMINI
BUSINESS TIMES
Singapore's success worthy of emulation
The South African government, business and civil society need to craft
and execute a compelling vision of the future to make the country a
first-world nation.

Image: Picture: GALLO IMAGES
A view of Singapore financial district. The country has managed to
move from third-world status to first- class economy in just two
generations
" The island state has an unemployment rate of about 3%
We need to talk about strategies to reach full employment, 100%
literacy, total eradication of abject poverty, housing for all, a
decent healthcare system, a crime-free society, massive investment in
research and development, promoting a savings culture, a world-class
knowledge economy underpinned by global centres of excellence in
mining, financial services, manufacturing and innovation.

This is the strategic conversation that we should be having. But what
does it take to move from third world to first world, or in our case,
from developing to developed status within a generation?

Singapore! That's the answer.

As I write this in the lovely and very clean green garden city state
of Singapore, I'm compelled to say it takes very strong, bold and
visionary leadership that Singapore has had since its independence.

When the British left Singapore in 1965, it was in more or less the
same state and level of development as other African countries such as
Ghana and Zambia.

Now Singapore has a GDP of $285-billion, a GDP per capita of $37600
and an unemployment rate of about 3% and a mature financial services
sector dominated by the big names in global finance.

It has the ninth highest GDP per head in purchasing power parity terms
and an impressive human development index of 94.4% which is higher
than the Brics and countries such as Portugal and Greece.

Singapore is a living example that the shackles of poverty and
underdevelopment in former colonial states can be overcome. Lee Kuan
Yew, a great visionary and statesman, took over and started the
journey of modernising and developing his country. The Singapore model
of development is common sense but requires disciplined and sustained
execution to implement.

Lee Kuan Yew instilled confidence and discipline among his people.
This is a critical success factor for any nation or organisation. More
importantly, Singaporeans have a very strong work ethic worthy of
emulation.

Singapore is now a magnet for 10million tourists each year who come to
enjoy what most can only dream of in their home countries.

Their number of tourists per year is double their population.

The central plank of Lee Kuan Yew's strategy was to unleash the full
potential of Singaporeans by harnessing their skills, talent and sense
of patriotism.

Singapore has no natural resources and only 1% of its land is arable.
Agriculture as an industry is non-existent and yet Singapore has more
than enough food to feed its entire nation. It's a failure of
leadership that some countries have abundant arable land in Africa and
yet their people die of hunger and starvation.

The country's 94.5% literacy rate is a vindication of its sound and
prudent policies. If we can focus on developing and leveraging the
skills and professional passions of our people there is a lot that we
can achieve in making South Africa a first-world country within a
generation.

There are many shining examples of global excellence that need scaling
up to make South African leadership in global and local business to be
the norm.

In the ultimate analysis countries are as good as their leaders in
both commerce and government.

Dlamini is the CEO of Old Mutual Emerging Markets.

Wanted - a Lee Kuan Yew

Wanted - a Lee Kuan Yew
Published: September 4, 2011
S. Tariq
There comes a time in the life of nations that one yearns to see a
leader who can, through personal example and ruthless enforcement of
law and justice, lead the country out of the morass of corruption,
ineptitude and poverty. Great misfortune befell us when Muhammad Ali
Jinnah - the one person, who could do this - left this world just a
year after our independence.
Professors and pundits of political science bear the view that
autocracy and not democracy is an ideal form of good government. They,
however, hasten to qualify this statement with the words, "…but where
does one find a benign autocrat?" There are, however, examples in
history where such autocrats did emerge and lead their countries to
greatness and prosperity. Singapore and its first Prime Minister Dr
Lee Kuan Yew is one such case.
Born on September 16, 1923, Lee remained Prime Minister for three
decades before he voluntarily stepped down to enable a stable
leadership renewal. He led his People's Action Party (PAP) to eight
victories from 1959 to 1990, oversaw the separation of Singapore from
Malaysia in 1965, and its subsequent transformation from a relatively
underdeveloped colony with no natural resources into an Asian Tiger.
Such was the respect commanded by Dr Lee that the country's second
Prime Minister, Goh Chok Tong, appointed him as Senior Minister in
1990. In 2004, Singapore's founding father was given the advisory
portfolio of Minister Mentor by his son, Lee Hsien Loong, when the
latter became the nation's third Prime Minister in August 2004. On May
14, 2011, Lee announced his retirement from the Cabinet to make way
for new leadership.
On assuming his first office, Lee realised that Singapore did not have
a national culture that could be assimilated by immigrants. He,
therefore, embarked on creating a Singaporean Identity that heavily
recognised racial individuality within the ambit of multiculturalism.
He stressed the importance of maintaining religious tolerance and
racial harmony, and used the law to counter any threat leading to
ethnic and religious violence.
Like Pakistan, Lee Kuan Yew had three issues confronting him -
national security, economy and social degradation. He came to grips
with the first one by quickly declaring a policy of non-alignment,
while building up his armed forces. He took on political corruption by
empowering the Corrupt Practices Investigation Bureau (something what
our own NAB should have been) to arrest, search, summon witnesses,
investigate bank accounts and income tax returns of suspected persons
and their families.
Dr Lee believed that if the ministers were well paid, they would stay
away from corrupt practices. To that end, he brought the salaries of
ministers, judges and senior civil servants at par with top
professionals in the private sector. He argued that by doing this he
would be able to recruit and retain talent to serve in the public
sector.
Concerned about Singapore's growing population and the resultant
overburdening of economy, Lee implemented a 'stop at two' family
planning campaign, which encouraged couples to undergo sterilisation
after two offspring. Children born after the first two were given
lower priorities in education and their parents fewer economic
rebates. The result was a sharp fall in birth rate and a rise in per
capita income to the extent that by the late 1990s, the scheme was
discontinued.
In another revolutionary move, Lee promulgated a law that encouraged
Singapore males to choose highly educated wives. He introduced a
Graduate Mother's Scheme that offered incentives such as tax rebates,
schooling and housing priorities for graduate mothers.
One of Dr Lee's abiding beliefs had been the effectiveness of corporal
punishment in the form of caning. Singapore had inherited judicial
corporal punishment for personal violence from the days of colonial
rule, but the country's founding father expanded its scope to a wide
range of crimes, including vandalism.
This then is the story of what is now a leading, happy and prosperous
nation in the world. It is so because an autocrat, with a dream, ruled
it without fear of domestic and international criticism with only one
aim in mind - to root out corruption, inculcate discipline and put
into place a system of good government that could deliver to the
people.
What Pakistan needs is just such a person. Perhaps, he is hidden away
somewhere in the obscure ranks of some political party - if he is
there then let him come forward and lead this nation to glory.
The writer is a freelance columnist.

Sunday, August 28, 2011

Neil Armstrong urges return to the Moon

Before US takes another holiday vacation to the Moon, how does Obama
plan to pay for it? By credit card installments? and adding to their
$15 trillion (=15,000,000,000,000) debt?


Neil Armstrong urges return to the Moon
Posted: 25 August 2011 0904 hrs


SYDNEY: Astronaut Neil Armstrong has urged a return to the Moon to
train for missions to Mars as the United States contemplates the
future of its space programme following the end of the shuttle era.

The first man to walk on the Moon is due to address the US Congress on
new directions for NASA in coming weeks.

He has previously criticised US President Barack Obama for being
"poorly advised" on space matters and said it was "well known to all
that the American space programme is in some chaos at the present
time, some disarray".

"There are multiple opinions on which goals should be the most
important and the most pressing," he told a function in Sydney late on
Wednesday.

The US shuttle programme came to an end last month with the Atlantis
cruising home for a final time, 42 years after Armstrong became the
first person to set foot on the Moon as part of the Apollo 11 mission.

Critics have assailed NASA for lacking focus, with no next-generation
human spaceflight mission to replace the shuttle programme.

Now 81, Armstrong said the agency had become a "shuttlecock" for the
"war of words" between the executive, legislative and congressional
arms of US government.

"It's my belief given time and careful thought and reasoning we will
eventually reach the right goal, I just hope we do it fairly quickly,"
he said.

The normally private and reserved space veteran said Mars should be
the next frontier for exploration but urged more missions to the Moon
as the vital next step.

"I do favour going to Mars but I believe it is both too difficult and
too expensive with the technology we have available at the current
time," he said.

"I favour returning to the Moon. We made six landings there and
explored areas as small as a city lot and perhaps as large as a small
town. That leaves us some 14 million square miles that we have not
explored."

Armstrong said working on the Moon would allow scientists to practise
"a lot of the things that you need to do when you are going further
out in the solar system" while maintaining relatively close contact
with Mission Control.

Communication is the major problem for trips to Mars, he said, with
the relay of a message between Earth and the red planet delayed by
about 20 minutes, compared with 1.5 seconds between here and the Moon.

Travel time is also a major concern, with a journey time of two months
when Mars was closest to Earth, but also at its most rapidly spinning
trajectory, requiring massive amounts of fuel to land.

- AFP/ck

Tuesday, August 23, 2011

Consumer Debt Forgiveness May Be Needed: Roach

This one is a must vote for the "Stupidest Thing I've heard this Year"....


American consumers have too much debt, not enough savings and are afraid they will lose their jobs—if they haven't lost them already.

It might be time for something that hasn't been done since the 1930s to get Americans spending again: national debt forgiveness, Stephen Roach told CNBC Monday.

A stronger dollar or higher interest rates would encourage consumption and saving, Roach said, but he prefers the more "direct approach" of coming up with "ways to forgive the excesses of mortgage, installment and revolving credit, as what was done in the 1930s, that will help consumers get through the pain of deleveraging sooner rather than later."

The nonexecutive chairman at Morgan Stanley Asia and senior fellow at Yale's Jackson Institute said the American consumer makes up 71 percent of gross domestic product, but growth is up only 0.2 percent over the last 14 months.

"The American consumer...is going nowhere," he said. It's a Japanese style balance sheet correction. If we don't address that, all the public policy aimed at the fiscal and monetary stimuluses are going to be pushing on a string."

Debt forgiveness may hurt lenders, Roach said, but "they're the ones who wrote the bad loans and they're the ones who had the free ride. There's no gain without some pain and we have to decide who in society has to bear the brunt of that."

At the same time, "politicians don't want to inflict pain on any constituency," Roach said. "We have a leadership deficit. People are unwilling to take the tough choices and say, 'This is going to be painful for a while, but we're going to come out the other side.' " 

Sunday, August 14, 2011

S'poreans have to choose the kind of politics they want, says ESM Goh

Dear Mr Goh, the people have already chosen. A hawker wants to tell SMRT how to run trains, a student tells govt how to pay its ministers, a parent tells MOE how to teach kids, a couple tells govt how to charge for pubic housing.

When too many people want to tell the chef how to cook and how they want their meal done, you get burnt charcoal.



S'poreans have to choose the kind of politics they want, says ESM Goh
By Hetty Musfirah Abdul Khamid | Posted: 13 August 2011 2227 hrs

SINGAPORE: Emeritus Senior Minister Goh Chok Tong said Singaporeans will have to choose the kind of politics best suited for the country.

Speaking at the National Day dinner in his Marine Parade constituency on Saturday evening, Mr Goh expressed concern about the whipping up of resentment by those who opposed the government, especially over the internet, in the recent General Election.

He hoped it is not an early sign of the type of politics in future.

Mr Goh Chok Tong said Singapore is in transition, with a new and younger team of leaders. And together with the people, they will have to decide what their goals are for Singapore and how to achieve them.

They will have to make "hard choices" to solve problems - in the economic, social and political spheres.

On politics, the recent general election saw many giving their views on various issues, especially through the internet. And he said those born after independence will increasingly decide Singapore's political future.

Mr Goh said: "Singaporeans generally, not just the young, now want to have more say in their future and have their diverse interests reflected in a pluralistic parliament. It is much easier to agitate and criticise than to come up with alternative, sound policies that will solve problems for the majority.

"Will Singaporeans choose constructive politics and debate policies rationally in the future, or choose confrontational and divisive politics based on stoking envy and resentment?"

On the economy, Mr Goh said Singapore has depended on importing foreign workers to help grow the country. So reducing the dependence on foreign workers and talent, while ensuring high economic growth, will not be an easy choice.

He said: "Many services may be affected due to the lack of Singaporean workers; for example, we are short of bus drivers, service staff in food establishments, cleaners, nurses and hospital attendants. We can try and make up by improving our productivity sharply but it will not be easy."

Mr Goh added that addressing the widening income gap will also be difficult.

Socially, he cautioned about the challenges of an ageing population. Mr Goh said many young Singaporeans want more time for themselves and find raising children costly and time-consuming. But the true cost for them and the country will come in the future.

Mr Goh said the choice is enjoy today and worry about being old later or worry today about raising children and enjoy the warmth of family later. He said whatever choice they make, will have a national impact.

He said the younger team of leaders will have to rally Singaporeans, with a new vision grounded in reality.

-CNA/ac

Saturday, August 6, 2011

Constitution 'doesn't say President must be dumb'

The trouble is not that the President is dumb, but the President shoots from his asshole. No prizes for the candidate I think talks with the Voices from the Peoples' Asses.




Aug 6, 2011
Constitution 'doesn't say President must be dumb'
By Tessa Wong

Mr Tan Kin Lian, 63, former chief executive, NTUC Income who will be contesting in the upcoming Presidential Election to be held on 27 August 2011. -- ST PHOTO: SAMUEL HE

PRESIDENTIAL hopeful Mr Tan Kin Lian said on Saturday that he has looked at the Constitution and has not found the requirement that 'the President must be dumb' and cannot speak out.

He was responding to remarks made by Law Minister Mr K Shanmugam at a forum on Friday on the roles and responsibilities of the President.

Mr Tan said that he agreed with Mr Shanmugam that the duties of the President should be those stated in the Constitution. He said if elected he would abide and carry out those duties.

However, he said, he did not agree with Mr Shanmugam's views 'that the President cannot speak on anything else without the approval of the Government', saying that the Law Minister's interpretation of the laws on this issue was 'too narrow'.

'It seems the President has less freedom of speech than ordinary citizens,' said Mr Tan.

He was addressing supporters on Saturday morning at his campaign headquarters at Anson Road, in a meeting open to media coverage. The event also saw the launch of his campaign slogan, 'Voice of The People'.

Sell-Off Was Another 'Flash Crash': Barton Biggs

This is the first time for 15 years of investing since leaving the
'buy and hold' philosophy that I am actually pleased with myself for a
few things:
1. I am 100% cash
2. A further fall will not make me money, but will improve my fund's
performance against the market
3. I am totally at ease with the sell off

That's for moving to the dark side.

Sell-Off Was Another 'Flash Crash': Barton Biggs
Published: Friday, 5 Aug 2011 | 12:35 PM ET Text Size
By: Katie Little
Special to CNBC


Barton Biggs, a managing director with Traxis Partners, dismissed
Thursday's sell-off as "another Wall Street flash crash panic" and
said that, despite the recent spate of weak data, he still believes
the U.S. economy could show real growth over the next couple of
quarters.

"I'm sorry I can't get bearish here," Biggs told CNBC Friday. "There's
too much fear and too much panic selling. There's too much
momentum-oriented selling, and I don't think the global economy's
going to collapse.

Tight stop-loss limits and high frequency trading contributed to the
selling once the market started to cascade downward, Biggs said.

"This another Wall Street flash crash panic, and I think it's
overdone," he said. "Any long-term investor ought to be buying stock."

Art Cashin, director of floor operations for USB Financial Services,
has also called the market's steep drop "a classical technical
breakdown" and said high frequency trading was contributing to the
decline.

Biggs said he remains optimistic about the U.S. economy going forward,
citing a pick-up in retail spending in certain areas, good news in
Friday's employment numbers, and the rise of real incomes due to low
inflation as evidence that the economy could exhibit growth during the
next few quarters.

He added that he thinks the market could rally 5 to 7 percent in the
relatively short-term, and if the economic data is more encouraging,
the market could increase even further.

Not everyone is as optimistic about the global economy as Biggs is. In
an interview with CNBC, Mark Faber, editor and publisher of Boom, Doom
and Gloom Report, said investors should see any market bounce as a
selling opportunity.

Saturday, July 23, 2011

Malaysian fans jeer Chelsea's Israeli midfielder

Some countries will take longer to get there.


Jul 23, 2011

Malaysian fans jeer Chelsea's Israeli midfielder

KUALA LUMPUR: A soccer friendly between Malaysia's national team and
English Premier League side Chelsea turned surly when anti-Israel
spectators booed the away team's Israel-born captain whenever he had
the ball.

The jeering of Yossi Benayoun throughout the first half was given wide
coverage in global media, embarrassing Malaysia which wants to present
itself as a moderate Muslim nation, the Malaysian Insider news website
reported.

Before some 85,000 football fans on Thursday night, Chelsea defeated
the Malaysian Olympic squad at the Bukit Jalil Stadium in Kuala Lumpur
1-0.

Midfielder Benayoun was the first Israeli to play football in
Malaysia, a Muslim-majority country that maintains no diplomatic ties
with Israel.

This is not the first time Israeli sportsmen have been ostracised here.

In 1997, some 400 protesters lit bonfires and smashed billboards at a
field where they thought Israeli cricketers would be playing at
Malaysia's invitation.

Then Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad justified the team's presence by
saying that Malaysia wanted to show the visiting Israelis how
different races could live together in peace.

In 2008, the government gave its approval for Chelsea's Israeli coach
Avram Grant and defender Tal Ben Haim to visit Malaysia for the team's
pre-season tour of Malaysia, despite protests from Muslim groups. But
both left the team before the trip.

AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE

Wednesday, July 20, 2011

Wendi Deng makes kungfu leap in Murdoch fracas

the press has absolutely nothing to talk about. The people have no idol to cheer for. This is the state of the world today. Rotten.



Wendi Deng makes kungfu leap in Murdoch fracas
Press baron's wife fights off attacker in House committee room


(LONDON) The grilling of media baron Rupert Murdoch and his son James by British Parliamentarians yesterday took a surprising turn.


Hanging tough: While appearing to falter under intense questioning, Mr Rupert Murdoch pushes back against UK lawmakers with denials
'In a shocking interruption toward the end of the questioning by lawmakers, a protester rushed at Rupert two hours into the hearing, setting off a scuffle and spattering Murdoch with what appeared to be white foam in a foil pie dish.

Murdoch, 80, was not hurt and no doctor was required, a Reuters witness said. Murdoch's wife Wendi Deng, who was sitting behind him in the committee room, slapped the assailant and police rushed to arrest him.

A young man, wearing a checkered shirt and his face smeared in foam, was taken out of the room and placed in handcuffs.

The hearing was suspended and journalists and members of the public were asked to leave. It resumed 15 minutes later with both Rupert Murdoch and his son James present.

Murdoch appeared calm but had taken off the blue suit jacket that had been splashed in the attack.

Earlier under questioning by lawmakers over the widening phone hacking scandal, the elder Murdoch appeared to falter at times but pushes back with denials.

His son James said he had 'no knowledge and there's no evidence that I'm aware of' that Ms Brooks or other senior executives who have resigned from Murdoch companies as a result of the crisis had knowledge of phone hacking.

He said the hacking scandal was a 'matter of great regret of mine, my father's and everyone at News Corporation. These actions do not live up to the standards that our company aspire to everywhere around the world'.

Lawmakers quizzed the elder Murdoch about news reports suggesting that The News of the World may have sought the phone numbers of victims of the Sept 11, 2001, attacks in the United States. He said he had 'seen no evidence of these allegations'.

He added that he was not responsible for the hacking scandal, and his company was not guilty of wilful blindness.

Slapping a desk in a parliamentary committee to underscore his points, he said The News of the World tabloid at the centre of the scandal represented about one per cent of his businesses around the world.

He said he lost sight of the paper because it is such a small part of his company and spoke to the editor of the paper only around once a month, talking more with the editor of the Sunday Times in Britain and the Wall Street Journal in the United States.

'I employ 53,000 people around the world who are proud, ethical, distinguished people,' he said.

Mr Murdoch said he had ordered the closure of the newspaper because 'we felt ashamed of what happened and felt that we would bring it to a close. We had broken our trust with our readers'.

Their appearances followed a separate committee hearing into the involvement of police in the scandal that exploded fully only two weeks ago with reports that The News of the World under the editorship of Ms Brooks ordered the hacking of voice mail of a 13-year-old girl, Milly Dowler, who had been abducted and murdered. Brooks has denied knowledge of the hacking.

'I was absolutely shocked, appalled, ashamed when I heard about the Milly Dowler case two weeks ago,' Mr Murdoch said. At points where the elder Murdoch was pressed on detailed points and seemed not to have a ready response, his son sought to intervene, but committee members insisted on answers from his father. -- NYT, AP, Reuters

Next financial crisis may be more severe: Tony Tan

That's rubbish.


Published July 20, 2011

Next financial crisis may be more severe: Tony Tan
Last downturn did not lead to 'total collapse' thanks to Fed and its chief

By LEE U-WEN

(SINGAPORE) The next global financial crisis could well come as early as five or six years from now, with every possibility that the severity could be much higher than what the world experienced at the last downturn just two years ago.

Painting this grim scenario yesterday, Tony Tan - the former deputy chairman and executive director of the Government of Singapore Investment Corporation (GIC) - said that the global financial system only managed to avert a 'total collapse' in 2008-09 because of the quick intervention led by the US Federal Reserve and its chief Ben Bernanke.

'If not for the strong actions of the central banks and authorities led by the US Federal Reserve and Mr Bernanke, we would be facing 20 per cent unemployment today. The world would be a very bleak place,' said Dr Tan during a question-and-answer session following a public lecture on higher education that he delivered at the Singapore Management University.

Dr Tan, a former deputy prime minister, stepped down from his GIC posts and at Singapore Press Holdings (where he was its chairman) on July 1 to contest the upcoming presidential election, which must be held by Aug 31 this year.

He described how Mr Bernanke took 'unprecedented action to do whatever was necessary' to avoid a complete financial meltdown, providing institutions with unlimited quantities of money to keep the system afloat, and that saved us.

Singapore, too, had to dip into its reserves - built up over the last 40 years - for the first time to weather the storm, added Dr Tan, although it managed to do so 'without compromising our financial integrity and falling into deeper problems'.

'The lesson is, it's not the action which is important, but whether you have the reserves, the backing and the ability to take these actions,' he said.

In Singapore's case, the recession it went through was 'extremely short' but Dr Tan warned that the Republic and other countries should not 'press our luck' going forward.

'If the same thing happens five or six years from now, we may not have another Ben Bernanke heading the US Federal Reserve. All the problems and risks we face today would seem quite trivial compared to the financial and economic catastrophe that could befall us,' he said.

Friday, June 17, 2011

(BN) Greenspan Says Greece Default ‘Almost Certain,’ May Trigger U.S. Recession

If you believe someone who craps from the mouth. 


Bloomberg News, sent from my iPad.

Greenspan Tells Charlie Rose Default by Greece 'Almost Certain'

June 16 (Bloomberg) -- Alan Greenspan, former Federal Reserve chairman, said a default by Greece is "almost certain" and could help drive the U.S. economy into recession.

"The problem you have is that it's extremely unlikely the political system will work" in a way that solves Greece's crisis, Greenspan, 85, said in an interview today with Charlie Rose in New York. "The chances of Greece not defaulting are very small."

Greek government bonds slumped, pushing the yield on the two-year note above 30 percent for the first time, as Prime Minister George Papandreou's failure to win support for more austerity fueled speculation the European country will fail to meet its obligations. More than 20,000 people protested in Athens this week against wage reductions and tax increases, with police using tear gas on crowds and strikes paralyzing ports, banks, hospitals and state-run companies.

The chances of Greece defaulting are "so high that you almost have to say there's no way out," said Greenspan, who ran the central bank from 1987 to 2006. That may leave some U.S. banks "up against the wall."

Greece's debt crisis has the potential to push the U.S. into another recession, Greenspan said. Without the Greek issue, "the probability is quite low" of a U.S. recession, he said.

"There's no momentum in the system that suggests to me that we are about to go into a double-dip," Greenspan said.

Economic data released today show confidence in the expansion eroding among Americans and businesses, as unemployment remains above 9 percent.

U.S. Debt Limit

The U.S. recovery is being hindered by apprehension among businesses over the long-term outlook, and there's nothing more for Fed policy makers to do, Greenspan said.

U.S. lawmakers are wrangling over spending cuts and budget reforms as they seek an agreement to increase the $14.3 trillion debt limit before Aug. 2, the date on which the Treasury Department said it will have exhausted its borrowing authority.

The U.S. debt issue is becoming "horrendously dangerous," said Greenspan, who added he doubts lawmakers have another year or two to solve it.

After leaving the Fed, the former chairman founded the consulting firm Greenspan Associates and became a consultant or adviser to Deutsche Bank AG, Pacific Investment Management Co. and Paulson & Co., a hedge-fund firm that profited from the collapse of the U.S. subprime-mortgage market.

Greenspan, appointed Fed chairman by Republican President Ronald Reagan, was once described as "the greatest central banker who ever lived" by economist Alan Blinder, the central bank's former vice chairman.

He has since been blamed for contributing to the U.S. financial crisis by keeping interest rates low for too long and failing to regulate the mortgage market, according to critics including Allan Meltzer, a professor at Carnegie Mellon University in Pittsburgh, and members of the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission.

To contact the reporter on this story: Vivien Lou Chen in San Francisco at vchen1@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Christopher Wellisz at cwellisz@bloomberg.net

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Monday, June 13, 2011

(BN) Fischer’s Age Is Hurdle in Last-Minute Quest to Be IMF Managing Director


He's the man, but in this world, it is power and influence, not the right person, that rules. 



Bloomberg News, sent from my iPad.

Fischer's Age, Nationality Are Hurdles in Bid for IMF Post

June 12 (Bloomberg) -- Bank of Israel Governor Stanley Fischer, who helped the International Monetary Fund end crises in Mexico, Russia and Southeast Asia, faces the dual hurdles of age and nationality in his quest for the lender's top job.

Fischer, 67, the IMF's first deputy managing director from 1994-2001, joins French Finance Minister Christine Lagarde and Mexican central bank chief Agustin Carstens in the race to succeed Dominique Strauss-Kahn, who resigned last month after he was charged with attempted rape, as managing director. Strauss- Kahn has pleaded not guilty.

"An exceptional and unplanned opportunity has crossed my path, one that may never again present itself, to run for the head of the IMF," Fischer said in an e-mailed statement yesterday. "After much deliberation, I have decided to pursue it, despite the fact that it is a complicated process and despite the possible obstacles."

Israel's central bank said in a statement that the IMF will have to decide whether to amend its by-laws, which stipulate that its managing director be less than 65 years at the time of selection, or reject his candidacy. The fund's members would also have to end an informal agreement under which the head is always a European, while an American heads the World Bank.

Seen as American

Fischer is getting a late start in a race that has seen Lagarde lock up support among European Union nations. While the U.S., the fund's single biggest shareholder, hasn't announced backing for anyone, favoring a non-European could mean relinquishing control of the World Bank -- an outcome that members of Congress who decide on funding for development banks have said they oppose.

Fischer holds both U.S. and Israeli citizenship. He was born in an area of northern Rhodesia that is today part of Zambia and holds a Ph.D in economics from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

He "would be a fine candidate, but despite his African upbringing and Israeli experience, Fischer is seen first as a U.S. citizen because of his tenure as deputy managing director at the fund," Bessma Momani, a professor at the University of Waterloo in Canada who specializes in the IMF, said by e-mail.

Fischer earned his undergraduate and master's degrees at the London School of Economics. He then won a scholarship from MIT, in Cambridge, Massachusetts, where he studied under future Nobel laureate economists Paul Samuelson and Robert Solow. He later joined the faculty at MIT, serving as the thesis adviser to Ben S. Bernanke, now the Federal Reserve chairman.

'Beyond All Else'

Lagarde has benefited from the failure of emerging markets to coalesce around a candidate from their own ranks after vowing to end a six-decade European lock on the position. She has tried to turn attention away from her nationality by focusing on her gender and her role in European efforts to head off a Greek sovereign-debt default.

Lagarde has secured Egypt's backing for her candidacy to head the IMF, the Arab country's state-run Middle East News Agency reported today, citing Foreign Minister Nabil El-Arabi.

Lagarde said today Bahrain supports her candidacy to run the International Monetary Fund. She said other Mideast nations also have expressed support for her bid, though she did not identify them by name, in speaking at a Cairo press conference today.

The fund has said it plans to make a choice by the end of the month.

Integrity

"Fischer has already proven that when there are important challenges, he can meet them," Jacob Frenkel, chairman of JPMorgan Chase International and a former Bank of Israel governor said in an interview with Army Radio today. "His integrity is above and beyond all else."

Fischer, who emigrated from the U.S. to Israel in 2005 to take up the Bank of Israel governorship, described the top IMF position as a "terrific" job in a May 25 interview. He said the euro-region's debt crisis doesn't make it necessary for the fund to elect a European candidate. The IMF approved a record $91.7 billion in emergency loans last year and provides a third of bailout packages in Europe.

In August 2009, Fischer became the first central bank governor to reverse course in response to signs of a financial recovery when he raised the benchmark interest rate by a quarter point. He was given a second five-year term last year and was named central bank governor of the year for 2010 by Euromoney magazine in October.

Buying Dollars

In 2008, Fischer -- in an effort to save Israel's export- driven economy -- ordered the Bank of Israel to buy dollars to drive down the value of the shekel. Since March 2008, he has more than doubled foreign currency reserves to $76.8 billion.

The purchase program helped weaken the shekel against the dollar by 22 percent during two quarters of economic contraction, assisting companies such as Petah Tikva, Israel- based Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd., the world's biggest maker of generic drugs. The currency weakened 0.7 percent against the dollar to 3.4080 on June 10.

Israeli Finance Minister Yuval Steinitz said that Fischer's chances of getting the job "aren't great" due to the age requirement.

'Win-Win'

"It's a win-win situation for us," Steinitz said in an interview with Army Radio. "If he wins, it brings honor to the State of Israel, and he will also be working on our behalf on an international level. And we would also welcome his remaining with us."

Israel's 10-year government bond yields climbed to the highest level in more than two weeks on bets inflation accelerated in May. The yield on the benchmark Mimshal Shiklit note due January 2020 rose one basis point to 5.1 percent at the 4:30 p.m. close in Tel Aviv.

The TA-25 benchmark slid 1.25 percent today to close at 1204.19, the lowest since September.

"Everyone is sitting on the fence and waiting for something to happen. It may be related to the fact that his chances of getting the job don't look huge right now. They aren't taking it seriously yet," Uriel Goren, head of the international clients desk at DS Securities & Investments, said by phone.

Israel recovered from the global recession faster than many other developed economies, with growth of 4.7 percent in the first quarter of last year and 7.6 percent in the fourth. The economy is likely to expand 5.2 percent this year and 4.2 percent in 2012, the central bank said in a June 1 forecast.

Northern Rhodesia

Fischer's father, Philip, migrated in 1926 to Northern Rhodesia, modern-day Zambia, and ran a general store in a small village. Fischer's mother, Ann, was the daughter of Lithuanian immigrants who had moved to South Africa. The couple raised Stanley and his younger brother in Northern Rhodesia.

Fischer's parents moved to Southern Rhodesia -- now Zimbabwe -- when he was 13, and he completed high school there. In the last year of high school, he switched his specialization to economics from science. Fischer also joined Habonim, a Zionist youth group, along with Rhoda Keet, his future wife, with whom he now has three sons.

In the early 1960s, Fischer spent six months on a kibbutz on Israel's Mediterranean coast, where he combined learning Hebrew with manual labor. He now conducts his official business in Hebrew with an accent that divulges his upbringing in southern Africa.

To contact the reporters on this story: Alisa Odenheimer in Jerusalem at aodenheimer@bloomberg.net Calev Ben-David in Jerusalem at cbendavid@bloomberg.net .

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Andrew J. Barden in Dubai at barden@bloomberg.net .

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Sunday, June 5, 2011

The story BCG offered me $16,000 not to tell

From what I have seen, its the same for McKinsey.


The city was strange and the society unnerving, but what disturbed me the most about my experience was my job as a business consultant.

By Keith Yost
STAFF COLUMNIST
April 9, 2010
The city was strange and the society was unnerving, but what disturbed me most about my Dubai experience was my job as a business consultant for the Boston Consulting Group.

I really had no idea what to expect, going in. In my mind, consulting was about answering business questions through analysis. It was supposed to be Excel sheets and models, sifting through data to discover profit and loss, and helping clients make decisions that would add the most value for themselves, and by extension, society.

It was worrisome to enter a new job without any guarantee that I would be qualified. I assumed BCG would train me, and that as it had been with MIT, intelligence and hard work would prove sufficient. Still, I wondered what I would do if for some reason it turned out that I couldn’t get my head around the analysis? In hindsight, analytical skills should have been the least of my worries.

Stretching reality

The first clue that my mental picture of consulting was off came with “training” in Munich. I expected instruction in Excel programming, data analysis, and business theory. Instead, Munich turned out to be little more than a week long social outing with other recently matriculated consultants and analysts within the BCG’s European branches. We donned name tags, shook hands, and drank often. Classes were fluffy, and mostly consisted of discussion of high-level, almost philosophical topics. I got along well — as both an American and a member of the Dubai office, I was doubly foreign and therefore double the curiosity.

After a pleasant week of pseudo-partying, I returned to Dubai and was assigned to writing case proposals. In the consulting business, it is standard practice for clients to write requests for proposals, describing the question they would like answered. The consulting firm in turn writes a case proposal: We will answer A by having Consultant B do X, Y, and Z. A well written case proposal promises much, but is deliberately vague about what concrete things the consultants will produce.

Case proposals were despised by the rank and file — one had a dozen bosses, unclear objectives, and virtually no coordination with co-workers. But in one sense, the proposals were good practice for real case work. Both involved stretching reality to fit whatever was assumed the client desired.

Despite having no work or research experience outside of MIT, I was regularly advertised to clients as an expert with seemingly years of topical experience relevant to the case. We were so good at rephrasing our credentials that even I was surprised to find in each of my cases, even my very first case, that I was the most senior consultant on the team.

I quickly found out why so little had been invested in developing my Excel-craft. Analytical skills were overrated, for the simple reason that clients usually didn’t know why they had hired us. They sent us vague requests for proposal, we returned vague case proposals, and by the time we were hired, no one was the wiser as to why exactly we were there.

I got the feeling that our clients were simply trying to mimic successful businesses, and that as consultants, our earnings came from having the luck of being included in an elaborate cargo-cult ritual. In any case it fell to us to decide for ourselves what question we had been hired to answer, and as a matter of convenience, we elected to answer questions that we had already answered in the course of previous cases — no sense in doing new work when old work will do. The toolkit I brought with me from MIT was absolute overkill in this environment. Most of my day was spent thinking up and writing PowerPoint slides. Sometimes, I didn’t even need to write them — we had a service in India that could put together pretty good copy if you provided them with a sketch and some instructions.

Burning out

I worked hard at MIT. I routinely took seven to ten classes per semester and filled whatever hours were left in the day with part-time jobs and tutoring. It was a fairly stupid way of going about my education, and I missed out on many of the learning opportunities that MIT offers outside of classes. I don’t recommend what I did to anyone. But as stupid as carrying double course loads was, it had one advantage: After all the long hours I put into MIT, I believed I was invincible. If MIT couldn’t burn me out, nothing else ever could.

It took roughly three months before BCG disproved my “burn-out proof” theory. Putting together PowerPoint slides was easy, the hours were lenient, and the fifth day of every week usually consisting of a leisurely day away from the client site. By all accounts, I should have been coasting through my tasks.

What I learned is that burning out isn’t just about work load, it’s about work load being greater than the motivation to do work. It was relatively easy to drag myself to classes when I thought I was working for my own betterment. It was hard to sit at a laptop and crank out slides when all I seemed to be accomplishing was the transfer of wealth from my client to my company.

I’m a free marketeer. I believe that voluntary exchange is not just a good method of incentivizing people to provide their labor and talents to society, but a robust moral system — goods and services represent tangible benefit to people, market prices represent the true value of goods in society, and wages represent the value that a worker provides to others. Absent negative externalities or monopoly effects, a man receives from the free market what he gives to it, his material worth is a running tally of the net benefit that he has provided to his fellow man. A high income is not only justified, but there is nobility to it.

My moral system is organized around a utilitarian principle of greatest good for the greatest number — that which adds value cannot be wrong. It did not bother me therefore when I was handed consulting reports that had been stolen from our competitors. If the information in those reports would help us improve our client, then who could say we were doing wrong? Like downloading MP3s, it was a victimless crime.

What I could not get my head around was having to force-fit analysis to a conclusion. In one case, the question I was tasked with solving had a clear and unambiguous answer: By my estimate, the client’s plan of action had a net present discounted value of negative one billion dollars. Even after accounting for some degree of error in my reckoning, I could still be sure that theirs was a losing proposition. But the client did not want analysis that contradicted their own, and my manager told me plainly that it was not our place to question what the client wanted.

In theory, it was their money to lose. If they wanted a consulting report that parroted back their pre-determined conclusion, who was I to complain? I did not have any right to dictate that their money be spent differently. And yet, to not speak out was wrong. To destroy a billion dollars is to destroy an almost unimaginable amount of human well-being. Spent carefully on anti-malarial bed nets and medicine, one billion dollars could save a million lives. This was a crime, and failing to try and stop it would be as bad as committing it myself. And if I could not prevent it, then what reason was I being paid such a high salary? How could I justify my income if not by prevailing in situations such as these?

Sit down, shut up

Early on, before I began case work, one manager I befriended gave me some advice. To survive, he told me, I needed to remember The Ratio. 50 percent of the job is nodding your head at whatever is being said. 20 percent is honest work and intelligent thinking. The remaining 30 percent is having the courage to speak up, but the wisdom to shut up when you are saying something that your manager does not want to hear.

I spoke up once. And when it became clear that I would be committing career suicide to press on, I shut up.

With a diligent enough effort, one can morally justify nearly anything. It was clear that the client was going to go forward with their decision regardless of how I acted. How could I be responsible for a foregone conclusion? And if I had no power to change things, then why shouldn’t I take the course of action that lets me keep my job? Who would it benefit for me to give up my paycheck? With my salary, I could make large and regular contributions to Red Cross or Doctors Without Borders — without it I would just be another unemployed bum.

But there is a large difference between telling yourself a story and believing it. Ultimately, the core reason I stayed silent wasn’t altruistic, but selfish. At my salary level, and with my expected advancement path, I could comfortably retire in my thirties. That would mean nearly a full lifetime at my disposal, a solid forty years to find true love and raise a family without distraction. It was the opportunity to travel, to achieve great things, to self-actualize. It was the prospect of living a life free of want and need. Who was I kidding? I wasn’t going to donate half my salary to Red Cross. I was going to deposit it into an index fund and speed off as soon as I was sure there was enough gas in the car.

The conscience is a pesky thing. It was no consolation that I had gotten the moral calculus to work out in my favor. I should have been the most relaxed man on the planet, and yet every day I went back to my hotel room and spent most of my time nervously pacing. I couldn’t sleep at night. I’d fill up a bathtub and scream into it. I couldn’t get over the feeling that this was not how I was supposed to spend my life.

Staying silent was agonizing. Nominally, my job was to provide advice and aid in my client’s decision-making process. In practice, my job consisted of sitting quietly and resisting the urge to dissent. Each day was like a punishment from Greek mythology; with every meeting my liver would grow anew to be eaten again by eagles.

I was reminded of the Milgram experiment. I wanted to quit. I didn’t want to have any hand in this, I didn’t want the responsibility of being the destroyer. But the man in the lab coat was telling me that the experiment must continue. Burnout soon followed.

It wasn’t just that I lost all motivation for my job; it was also that it is much harder than one would expect to do unsound analysis. There is an interesting kabuki dance to be done when crafting figures to fit a conclusion. The conclusion may be wrong, but you still need to make it believable. You still need numbers to fill out your PowerPoint slides, and the numbers need to have enough internal consistency not to throw up red flags at a casual glance. Honest analysis, even when it has weak areas, is easy to defend. If the numbers look fishy, there’s an explanation — you didn’t have direct data on such and such and had to use estimates from another report, or made a reasonable assumption somewhere. But when the numbers actually are fishy, and there’s no underlying logic to defend, you can’t have any rough areas for others to poke at. And when you know everything is fishy, you can’t tell what will look fishy to someone who hasn’t seen any numbers before.

This leads to what I like to call, “Find me a rock” problems. The classic “find me a rock” story is as follows: A manager goes to his engineer one day and asks for a rock. “A rock?” asks the engineer. “Yes, a rock. That isn’t going to be a problem, is it?” replies the manager. The engineer laughs and tells the manager he’ll go pick one up during his lunch break and it will be no problem. After lunch, the manager visits the engineer again and the engineer shows him the rock. The manager looks at it for a moment before telling the engineer, “No, that one won’t work at all. I need a rock.”

“Find me a rock” problems sound dead simple, but in actuality have requirements that are poorly stated or unknown. You never know what you’re looking for; you only know that you’ll know it when you see it.

When you disconnect analysis from reality, it would seem like you are freeing yourself up to do your job any way you like. In actuality, you are exchanging one set of clear objectives and rules for another that is complex and ill-defined. At one point my manager said to me, “Change the numbers, but don’t change the conclusion.” Of course, there’s no trouble in changing the numbers — it’s not as if there was much of a basis for this set of numbers over another — but change them how, and to what? Who knows? Find me a rock.

I don’t know if I’ll ever have kids. Still, when I find myself in a moral quandary, I like to think it through by imagining how I would explain the situation to my future, hypothetical children. What would I say? How would they react? Could I justify my actions as having been in their best interest?

I wasn’t sure at the time, but having had enough free time of late to ponder such questions, I think I’ve come to the conclusion that having a father who can pay for a top-notch education outweighs the disadvantage of being raised by a hypocrite. Sticking with the job for the sake of a paycheck passes the children test.

I was not surprised the day I lost my job. The writing was on the wall. BCG’s management might have been releasing reports claiming countries like Dubai would be islands of stability in the world’s rough financial seas, but to the ground troops, it was obvious the economy was not doing well. From the very beginning of my employment, I hadn’t met a single employee who planned on staying with the company — all of them were scrambling for lifeboats, trying to land cushy jobs with cash-stuffed clients or find their way back to their home countries.

What did surprise me was the offer BCG made to me as I was on the way out the door. In exchange for me signing an agreement, BCG would give me the rough equivalent of $16,000 in UAE dirhams. Much of it looked boilerplate, like any common compromise agreement used in Europe — in return for some money, I would stipulate that I hadn’t been discriminated against on the basis of race or gender, etc.

But the rest was very clearly a non-disclosure agreement, and it made me uncomfortable. I signed a non-disclosure agreement when I first took the job, but that only covered BCG’s intellectual property and client identities, things that seemed entirely reasonable to protect. This agreement went much further. Not only did it bar me from making any disparaging comments about BCG or my work experience, but I wouldn’t even be allowed to reveal the existence of the non-disclosure agreement itself. The implication was clear: I could either be a cheerleader for BCG or stay silent, but anything else would bring swift legal retribution. When I asked to have the non-disclosure clauses removed, I was told that the agreement was a standard offer to employees, and that its terms were non-negotiable.

As hard as it was to decide whether or not to stay at my job, it was easy to pass up the hush money. Mistake or not, my future hypothetical children deserved to hear their father’s story, and $16,000 did not seem like a lot of money in the grand scheme of things. After rejecting the offer, I enjoyed a full night’s rest.

This is the third in a four-part series on the author’s experiences as a consultant in Dubai.

Thursday, June 2, 2011

From TODAY on iPad: Japan underestimated tsunami threat: IAEA


After the event has occurred and damage done, someone needs to assign blame and responsibility. Who better than UN? If Japan could underestimate, which country would not? 

This is classic UN spouting crap.


From TODAY on iPad: Japan underestimated tsunami threat: IAEA

TOKYO - United Nations inspectors have faulted Japan for underestimating the threat of a devastating tsunami on its crippled Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear plant (picture) but praised its overall response to the crisis as exemplary.

The preliminary report by a team from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) also said the tsunami hazard was underestimated at several other nuclear facilities...

URL: Japan underestimated tsunami threat: IAEA

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